AI-Driven Day-to-Day Route Choice

Understanding individual travel behaviors is critical for developing efficient and sustainable transportation systems. Travel behavioral analysis aims to capture the decision-making process of individual travel execution, including travel route choice, travel mode choice, departure time choice, and trip purpose. Among these choices, modeling route choice not only helps analyze and understand travelers' behaviors, but also constitutes the essential part of traffic assignment methods [1]. Specifically, it enables the evaluation of travelers' perceptions of route characteristics, the forecasting of behavior in hypothetical scenarios, the prediction of future traffic dynamics on transportation networks, and the understanding of travelers' responses to travel information. Real-world route choice is complex because of the inherent difficulties in accurately representing human behavior, travelers' limited knowledge of network composition, uncertainties in perceptions of route characteristics, and the lack of precise information about travelers' preferences [1]. To overcome these limitations, DTD traffic dynamics have attracted significant attention since they focus on drivers' dynamic shifts in route choices and the evolution of traffic flow over time, rather than merely static equilibrium states. DTD models are flexible to incorporate diverse behavioral rules such as forecasting [2, 3], bounded rationality [4, 5], decision-making based on prospects [6, 7], marginal utility effects [8, 9], and social interactions [10]. Despite these advantages identified in [11] and [12], DTD models still struggle to accurately reflect the observed fluctuations in traffic dynamics, particularly the persistent deviations around User Equilibrium (UE) noted in empirical studies [13, 14, 15]. To better understand traffic dynamics, Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) offers a promising alternative.