A former member of the German militant group Red Army Faction (RAF) has been jailed for 13 years for carrying out a string of armed robberies between 1999 and 2016. Daniela Klette, 67, was finally caught in a flat in Berlin in 2024 after more than 30 years on the run. She went on trial last year. Her defence had called for her acquittal but the court in Verden in Lower Saxony found her guilty on Wednesday of aggravated robbery, violating weapons laws and other offences over a 17-year period. Klette's RAF group, also known as the Baader-Meinhof gang, was eventually disbanded after a campaign of murder, kidnapping and bombing from the early 1970s to the early 1990s.

Score matching is an alternative to maximum likelihood estimation when the normalizing constant is unknown or too costly to evaluate. However, vanilla score matching has shown to be inefficient relative to maximum likelihood estimation for multimodal distributions with well-separated modes, which are commonly encountered in practical applications. We compare a novel diffusion-based denoising score matching estimator (DDSME) to the vanilla score matching estimator (SME) in this scenario. In particular, we prove statistical guarantees for both estimators, showing that the error bound for the vanilla SME worsens when the separation between the modes increases, which can be avoided in case of the DDSME with suitable hyperparameter tuning. This provides a novel theoretical explanation for the superior behavior of diffusion-based score matching over the vanilla version.

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for safety-critical domains like healthcare, yet it is rarely evaluated under realistic out-of-distribution (OOD) conditions. Here, we assessed predictive performance and uncertainty reliability for deep learning-based blood pressure (BP) estimation from photoplethysmography (PPG) signals under both in-distribution (ID) and OOD settings. Using an XResNet1D-50 trained on PulseDB and tested on four external datasets, we compared deep ensembles (DE) and Monte Carlo dropout (MCD) with Gaussian negative log-likelihood (GNLL) and mean squared error (MSE) losses, optionally followed by post-hoc recalibration via conformal prediction (CP), temperature scaling (TS), and isotonic regression (IR). The key findings of our study are as follows: (1) DE provides stronger predictive robustness under domain shift than MCD, an advantage that becomes clear primarily under external shift. (2) Recalibrated GNLL-based methods yield the best uncertainty calibration (e.g., GNLL+DE+CP for systolic blood pressure (SBP), GNLL+DE+TS for diastolic blood pressure (DBP)), while MSE-based uncertainty requires recalibration to become practically useful. (3) Across settings, CP and TS offer the most consistent gains, with IR remaining competitive in several cases. Overall, our results identify DE-based methods as most robust for predictive performance under domain shift, GNLL as strongest for native UQ, and recalibration as essential for making MSE-based uncertainty practical. These findings highlight the need to jointly assess predictive accuracy and calibration on external data for trustworthy cuffless BP estimation

An escaped tiger believed to be owned by Germany's Tiger Queen has been shot dead by police after attacking one of its keepers, according to local media reports. Police say a 73-year-old man was seriously injured after being attacked on Sunday while he was inside the animal's enclosure, located in a privately-owned facility on the outskirts of the German city of Leipzig. The tiger escaped the enclosure and was found shortly after by armed police, who shot and killed the animal. The site of the enclosure is believed to be owned by controversial trainer and private owner Carmen Zander, who describes herself as Germany's Tiger Queen. The animal was one of eight big cats kept at the industrial site near the German town of Schkeuditz, according to local media.

We establish the first population risk bounds for Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) trained by mini-batch SGD with gradient clipping, covering non-private SGD as well as differentially private SGD (DP-SGD) with Gaussian perturbations that interpolate between independent and temporally correlated noise. This setting is substantially closer to practice than prior KAN theory along two axes: training is by mini-batch SGD, the standard recipe for modern networks, rather than full-batch gradient descent (GD); and correlated-noise mechanisms have empirically shown a more favorable privacy-utility tradeoff than independent-noise mechanisms. Our results cover the corresponding full-batch GD and independent-noise DP-GD results for KANs by Wang et al. (2026), while yielding sharper fixed-second-layer specializations. The technical core is a new analysis route for correlated-noise DP training in the non-convex regime. Temporal dependence breaks the conditional-centering structure underlying standard one-step SGD arguments, and the projection step obstructs the exact cancellation structure of correlated perturbations. We address these difficulties through an auxiliary unprojected dynamics, a shifted iterate that absorbs the current noise perturbation, and a high-probability bootstrap certifying projection inactivity. Combining this optimization analysis with a stability-based generalization argument yields the stated population risk bounds. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first optimization and population risk analysis of a correlated-noise mechanism for DP training beyond convex learning, in particular for neural networks.

Uta Frith seems remarkably cheerful and content for someone who's spent six decades trying and failing to get to grips with her life's obsession. "Very little has stood the test of time," she tells me as we sit down in her living room in a leafy estate in Harrow-on-the-Hill, London. Around us, high-ceilinged walls papered in a luxurious red print are barely visible between rammed bookshelves, several model brains and a collection of abstract art. Frith has been searching for the mechanisms that underpin the enigmatic condition of autism ever since she first met profoundly autistic children in the late 1960s. "We could identify them intuitively, but not really scientifically - and I have to say that this is, unfortunately, still the case." Still, Frith's influence on our ever-shifting understanding of autism has been monumental.

Learning generative models in settings where the source and target distributions are only specified through unpaired samples is gaining in importance. Here, one frequently-used model are Schrödinger bridges (SB), which represent the most likely evolution between both endpoint distributions. To accelerate training, simulation-free SBs avoid the path simulation of the original SB models. However, learning simulation-free SBs requires paired data; a coupling of the source and target samples is obtained as the solution of the entropic optimal transport (OT) problem. As obtaining the optimal global coupling is infeasible in many practical cases, the entropic OT problem is iteratively solved on minibatches instead. Still, the repeated cost remains substantial and the locality can distort the global transport geometry. We propose quantized diffusion Schrödinger bridges (QDSB), which compute the endpoint coupling on anchor-quantized endpoint distributions and lift the resulting plan back to original data points through cell-wise sampling. We show that the regularized optimal coupling is stable w.r.t. anchor quantization, with an error controlled by the quality of the anchor approximation. In real-world experiments, QDSB matches the sample quality of existing baselines, requiring substantially less time. Code and data are available at github.com/mathefuchs/qdsb.

Inverse optimization (IO) seeks to infer the parameters of a decision-maker's objective from observed context--action data. We study noiseless IO, where demonstrations are generated by a ground-truth objective. We provide a high-probability ${O}(\frac{d}{T})$ generalization bound for the induced action set, where $d$ is the number of unknown parameters and $T$ is the size of the training dataset. We strengthen these guarantees under additional conditions that ensure uniqueness of the chosen action, bringing our IO guarantees in line with best-arm identification results in the bandit literature. We further show that the ${O}(\frac{d}{T})$ rate is tight over all consistent estimators considered here, and extend the result to both instantaneous and cumulative regret. Notably, the resulting regret lower bound matches the corresponding upper bounds in the adversarial setting, indicating that the stochastic IO setting is effectively adversarial for the class of estimators studied here. Finally, we propose a parameter-free algorithm with lower per-iteration complexity than generic solvers. Experiments validate the predicted rates and illustrate the tightness of our bounds.

Providing non-conservative uncertainty quantification for function estimates derived from noisy observations remains a fundamental challenge in statistical machine learning, particularly for applications in safety-critical domains. In this work, we propose novel non-asymptotic probabilistic uniform error bounds for kernel-based regression. Compared to related bounds in the literature that are restricted to (conditionally) independent sub-Gaussian noise, our bounds allow to consider a broad class of non-Gaussian distributions, such as sub-Gaussian, bounded, sub-exponential, and variance/moment-bounded noise. Moreover, our results apply to correlated and uncorrelated noise. We compare our proposed error bounds with existing results in terms of the induced uncertainty region and their performance in safe control, demonstrating the tightness of the proposed bounds.

We propose a novel adaptive Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) framework for time series forecasting that enhances expert specialization by incorporating expert-specific loss information directly into the training process. Notably, the overall objective comprises the base forecasting loss and expert-specific losses, allowing expert-level prediction errors to jointly shape training alongside the global forecasting loss. This framework is further combined with a partial online learning strategy, enabling incremental updates of both the gating mechanism and expert parameters. This approach significantly reduces computational cost by eliminating the need for repeated full model retraining. By integrating expert-level loss awareness with efficient online optimization, the proposed method achieves improved learning efficiency while maintaining strong predictive performance. Empirical results across economic, tourism, and energy datasets with varying frequencies demonstrate that the proposed approach generally outperforms both statistical methods and state-of-the-art neural network models, such as Transformers and WaveNet, in forecasting accuracy and computational efficiency. Furthermore, ablation studies confirm the effectiveness of the expert-specific loss integration strategy, highlighting its contribution to enhancing predictive performance.