Inductive reasoning in humans and large language models

Han, Simon J., Ransom, Keith, Perfors, Andrew, Kemp, Charles

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence 

This work was supported in part by the Complex Human Data Hub at the University of Melbourne and by ARC FT190100200. Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Jerome Han. Abstract The impressive recent performance of large language models has led many to wonder to what extent they can serve as models of general intelligence or are similar to human cognition. We address this issue by applying GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 to a classic problem in human inductive reasoning known as property induction. Although GPT-3.5 struggles to capture many aspects of human behaviour, GPT-4 is much more successful: for the most part, its performance qualitatively matches that of humans, and the only notable exception is its failure to capture the phenomenon of premise non-monotonicity. Our work demonstrates that property induction allows for interesting comparisons between human and machine intelligence and provides two large datasets that can serve as benchmarks for future work in this vein.

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