Plus: Autonomous drones may have killed soldiers for the first time. Imagine tuning in to the opening kickoff of a World Cup match and seeing a player intentionally kick the ball out of bounds. You may question the logic of surrendering possession seconds into a game. If you were Jesse Davis, though, you'd know that this play could be a prime setup to score. Davis is a professor of computer science at KU Leuven in Belgium and head of its Sports Analytics Lab, which has been at the vanguard of a data awakening in soccer. Using AI and data analytics, his team has uncovered hidden tactical patterns and challenged long-held assumptions about how the game should be played.

Many of the insights hitting soccer pitches today trace back to Jesse Davis and a team of computer scientists open-sourcing tools for some of the sport's trickiest problems. Imagine tuning in to the opening kickoff of a World Cup match and seeing a player intentionally send the ball all the way down the pitch and right out of bounds on the opponent's end. Casual fans might scratch their heads. If you were Jesse Davis, though, you'd know that this play could be a prime setup to score. Davis is a professor of computer science at KU Leuven in Belgium and head of its Sports Analytics Lab, which has been at the vanguard of a data awakening in soccer since its inception more than a decade ago. Though the research group brings machine-learning models to bear on a variety of sports--including basketball, volleyball, and field hockey--nowhere is its impact felt more than on the soccer pitch.

A.1 Power Flow Problem Recall the power balance equations:

Geographic context is often consider relevant to motor insurance risk, yet public actuarial datasets provide limited location identifiers, constraining how this information can be incorporated and evaluated in claim-frequency models. This study examines how geographic information from alternative data sources can be incorporated into actuarial models for Motor Third Party Liability (MTPL) claim prediction under such constraints. Using the BeMTPL97 dataset, we adopt a zone-level modeling framework and evaluate predictive performance on unseen postcodes. Geographic information is introduced through two channels: environmental indicators from OpenStreetMap and CORINE Land Cover, and orthoimagery released by the Belgian National Geographic Institute for academic use. We evaluate the predictive contribution of coordinates, environmental features, and image embeddings across three baseline models: generalized linear models (GLMs), regularized GLMs, and gradient-boosted trees, while raw imagery is modeled using convolutional neural networks. Our results show that augmenting actuarial variables with constructed geographic information improves accuracy. Across experiments, both linear and tree-based models benefit most from combining coordinates with environmental features extracted at 5 km scale, while smaller neighborhoods also improve baseline specifications. Generally, image embeddings do not improve performance when environmental features are available; however, when such features are absent, pretrained vision-transformer embeddings enhance accuracy and stability for regularized GLMs. Our results show that the predictive value of geographic information in zone-level MTPL frequency models depends less on model complexity than on how geography is represented, and illustrate that geographic context can be incorporated despite limited individual-level spatial information.

Researchers hope the experiments will pave the way for people with paralysis to explore virtual worlds or more intuitively control electric wheelchairs in this one. Peter Janssen at KU Leuven in Belgium and colleagues implanted three rhesus macaque ( Macaca mulatta) monkeys with BCIs. Crucially, each animal got three implants, each consisting of 96 electrodes, positioned in the primary motor, dorsal and ventral premotor cortex. The first area is commonly used in BCI research and relates to physical movement, but the latter two are thought to be involved in planning movement in a higher, more abstract way. Electrical signals from the implants were then interpreted by an AI model and used to control VR avatars as the monkeys watched a 3D monitor.

For most process systems, knowledge of the model structure is incomplete. This missing physics must then be learned from experimental data. Recently, a combination of universal differential equations and symbolic regression has become a popular tool to discover these missing physics. Universal differential equations employ neural networks to represent missing parts of the model structure, and symbolic regression aims to make these neural networks interpretable. These machine learning techniques require high-quality data to successfully recover the true model structure. To gather such informative data, a sequential experimental design technique is developed which is based on optimally discriminating between the plausible model structures suggested by symbolic regression. This technique is then applied to discovering the missing physics of a bioreactor.

In recent years, there has been growing interest in causal machine learning estimators for quantifying subject-specific effects of a binary treatment on time-to-event outcomes. Estimation approaches have been proposed which attenuate the inherent regularisation bias in machine learning predictions, with each of these estimators addressing measured confounding, right censoring, and in some cases, left truncation. However, the existing approaches are found to exhibit suboptimal finite-sample performance, with none of the existing estimators fully leveraging the temporal structure of the data, yielding non-smooth treatment effects over time. We address these limitations by introducing surv-iTMLE, a targeted learning procedure for estimating the difference in the conditional survival probabilities under two treatments. Unlike existing estimators, surv-iTMLE accommodates both left truncation and right censoring while enforcing smoothness and boundedness of the estimated treatment effect curve over time. Through extensive simulation studies under both right censoring and left truncation scenarios, we demonstrate that surv-iTMLE outperforms existing methods in terms of bias and smoothness of time-varying effect estimates in finite samples. We then illustrate surv-iTMLE's practical utility by exploring heterogeneity in the effects of immunotherapy on survival among non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients, revealing clinically meaningful temporal patterns that existing estimators may obscure.

Tensors provide a structured representation for multidimensional data, yet discretization can obscure important information when such data originates from continuous processes. We address this limitation by introducing a functional Tucker decomposition (FTD) that embeds mode-wise continuity constraints directly into the decomposition. The FTD employs reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) to model continuous modes without requiring an a-priori basis, while preserving the multi-linear subspace structure of the Tucker model. Through RKHS-driven representation, the model yields adaptive and expressive factor descriptions that enable targeted modeling of subspaces. The value of this approach is demonstrated in domain-variant tensor classification. In particular, we illustrate its effectiveness with classification tasks in hyperspectral imaging and multivariate time series analysis, highlighting the benefits of combining structural decomposition with functional adaptability.

Model-based design of experiments (MBDOE) is essential for efficient parameter estimation in nonlinear dynamical systems. However, conventional adaptive MBDOE requires costly posterior inference and design optimization between each experimental step, precluding real-time applications. We address this by combining Deep Adaptive Design (DAD), which amortizes sequential design into a neural network policy trained offline, with differentiable mechanistic models. For dynamical systems with known governing equations but uncertain parameters, we extend sequential contrastive training objectives to handle nuisance parameters and propose a transformer-based policy architecture that respects the temporal structure of dynamical systems. We demonstrate the approach on four systems of increasing complexity: a fed-batch bioreactor with Monod kinetics, a Haldane bioreactor with uncertain substrate inhibition, a two-compartment pharmacokinetic model with nuisance clearance parameters, and a DC motor for real-time deployment.

Among the different possible strategies for evaluating the reliability of individual predictions of classifiers, robustness quantification stands out as a method that evaluates how much uncertainty a classifier could cope with before changing its prediction. However, its applicability is more limited than some of its alternatives, since it requires the use of generative models and restricts the analyses either to specific model architectures or discrete features. In this work, we propose a new robustness metric applicable to any probabilistic discriminative classifier and any type of features. We demonstrate that this new metric is capable of distinguishing between reliable and unreliable predictions, and use this observation to develop new strategies for dynamic classifier selection.