Bayesian Regression Markets

Falconer, Thomas, Kazempour, Jalal, Pinson, Pierre

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence 

Data is the lifeblood of machine learning, yet for many firms, obtaining datasets of sufficient quality remains a challenge, with them being naturally distributed amongst owners with heterogeneous characteristics (e.g., privacy preferences). This has motivated several developments in the field of collaborative analytics, also known as federated learning (Figure 1a), where models are trained on local servers without the need for data centralization, thereby preserving privacy and distributing the computational burden (Kairouz et al., 2019). However, this framework provides only an incentive-free means for data sharing, relying on the critical assumption that owners are willing to collaborate (i.e., by sharing their private information) altruistically. This rather strong assumption may be violated if owners are competitors in a downstream market environment (Gal-Or, 1985). Consequently, a fruitful area of research has emerged that proposes to instead commoditize data within a market-based framework, where compensation (e.g., remuneration) can be used as an incentive for collaboration (Bergemann and Bonatti, 2019).

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