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PowerPM: Foundation Model for Power Systems

Neural Information Processing Systems

The proliferation of abundant electricity time series (ETS) data presents numerous opportunities for various applications within power systems, including demand-side management, grid stability, and consumer behavior analysis. Deep learning models have advanced ETS modeling by effectively capturing sequence dependence. However, learning a generic representation of ETS data for various applications is challenging due to the inherently complex hierarchical structure of ETS data. Moreover, ETS data exhibits intricate temporal dependencies and is susceptible to the influence of exogenous variables.


DeformableTST: Transformer for Time Series Forecasting without Over-reliance on Patching

Neural Information Processing Systems

With the proposal of patching technique in time series forecasting, Transformerbased models have achieved compelling performance and gained great interest from the time series community. But at the same time, we observe a new problem that the recent Transformer-based models are overly reliant on patching to achieve ideal performance, which limits their applicability to some forecasting tasks unsuitable for patching. In this paper, we intent to handle this emerging issue. Through diving into the relationship between patching and full attention (the core mechanism in Transformer-based models), we further find out the reason behind this issue is that full attention relies overly on the guidance of patching to focus on the important time points and learn non-trivial temporal representation. Based on this finding, we propose DeformableTST as an effective solution to this emerging issue. Specifically, we propose deformable attention, a sparse attention mechanism that can better focus on the important time points by itself, to get rid of the need of patching. And we also adopt a hierarchical structure to alleviate the efficiency issue caused by the removal of patching. Experimentally, our DeformableTST achieves the consistent state-of-the-art performance in a broader range of time series tasks, especially achieving promising performance in forecasting tasks unsuitable for patching, therefore successfully reducing the reliance on patching and broadening the applicability of Transformer-based models.


ReFT: Representation Finetuning for Language Models Zhengxuan Wu Zheng Wang Atticus Geiger

Neural Information Processing Systems

Parameter-efficient finetuning (PEFT) methods seek to adapt large neural models via updates to a small number of weights. However, much prior interpretability work has shown that representations encode rich semantic information, suggesting that editing representations might be a more powerful alternative. We pursue this hypothesis by developing a family of Representation Finetuning (ReFT) methods. ReFT methods operate on a frozen base model and learn task-specific interventions on hidden representations. We define a strong instance of the ReFT family, Low-rank Linear Subspace ReFT (LoReFT), and we identify an ablation of this method that trades some performance for increased efficiency. Both are drop-in replacements for existing PEFTs and learn interventions that are 15 -65 more parameter-efficient than LoRA.


Learning De-Biased Representations for Remote-Sensing Imagery

Neural Information Processing Systems

Remote sensing (RS) imagery, which requires specialized satellites to collect and is difficult to annotate, suffers from data scarcity and class imbalance in certain spectrums. Due to their data scarcity, training large-scale RS models from scratch is unrealistic, and the alternative is to transfer pre-trained models by fine-tuning or a more data-efficient method LoRA [22]. Due to class imbalance, transferred models exhibit strong bias, where features of the major class dominate over those of the minor class. In this paper, we propose debLoRA--a generic training approach that works with any LoRA variants to yield debiased features. It is an unsupervised learning approach that can diversify minor class features based on the shared attributes with major classes, where the attributes are obtained by a simple step of clustering. To evaluate it, we conduct extensive experiments in two transfer learning scenarios in the RS domain: from natural to optical RS images, and from optical RS to multi-spectrum RS images. We perform object classification and oriented object detection tasks on the optical RS dataset DOTA and the SAR dataset FUSRS. Results show that our debLoRA consistently surpasses prior arts across these RS adaptation settings, yielding up to 3.3 and 4.7 percentage points gains on the tail classes for natural optical RS and optical RS multi-spectrum RS adaptations, respectively, while preserving the performance on head classes, substantiating its efficacy and adaptability


Predict, Refine, Synthesize: Self-Guiding Diffusion Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting Marcel Kollovieh 2 Michael Bohlke-Schneider 1 Jasper Zschiegner 1

Neural Information Processing Systems

Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in generative modeling tasks across various domains. Prior works on time series diffusion models have primarily focused on developing conditional models tailored to specific forecasting or imputation tasks. In this work, we explore the potential of taskagnostic, unconditional diffusion models for several time series applications. We propose TSDiff, an unconditionally-trained diffusion model for time series. Our proposed self-guidance mechanism enables conditioning TSDiff for downstream tasks during inference, without requiring auxiliary networks or altering the training procedure. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our method on three different time series tasks: forecasting, refinement, and synthetic data generation. First, we show that TSDiff is competitive with several task-specific conditional forecasting methods (predict). Second, we leverage the learned implicit probability density of TSDiff to iteratively refine the predictions of base forecasters with reduced computational overhead over reverse diffusion (refine). Notably, the generative performance of the model remains intact -- downstream forecasters trained on synthetic samples from TSDiff outperform forecasters that are trained on samples from other state-of-the-art generative time series models, occasionally even outperforming models trained on real data (synthesize).


Closed-Loop Visuomotor Control with Generative Expectation for Robotic Manipulation Li Chen

Neural Information Processing Systems

Despite significant progress in robotics and embodied AI in recent years, deploying robots for long-horizon tasks remains a great challenge. Majority of prior arts adhere to an open-loop philosophy and lack real-time feedback, leading to error accumulation and undesirable robustness. A handful of approaches have endeavored to establish feedback mechanisms leveraging pixel-level differences or pre-trained visual representations, yet their efficacy and adaptability have been found to be constrained. Inspired by classic closed-loop control systems, we propose CLOVER, a closed-loop visuomotor control framework that incorporates feedback mechanisms to improve adaptive robotic control. CLOVER consists of a text-conditioned video diffusion model for generating visual plans as reference inputs, a measurable embedding space for accurate error quantification, and a feedback-driven controller that refines actions from feedback and initiates replans as needed. Our framework exhibits notable advancement in real-world robotic tasks and achieves state-of-the-art on CALVIN benchmark, improving by 8% over previous open-loop counterparts.


WFCRL: A Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Benchmark for Wind Farm Control

Neural Information Processing Systems

The wind farm control problem is challenging, since conventional model-based control strategies require tractable models of complex aerodynamical interactions between the turbines and suffer from the curse of dimension when the number of turbines increases. Recently, model-free and multi-agent reinforcement learning approaches have been used to address this challenge. In this article, we introduce WFCRL (Wind Farm Control with Reinforcement Learning), the first open suite of multi-agent reinforcement learning environments for the wind farm control problem. WFCRL frames a cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) problem: each turbine is an agent and can learn to adjust its yaw, pitch or torque to maximize the common objective (e.g. the total power production of the farm). WFCRL also offers turbine load observations that will allow to optimize the farm performance while limiting turbine structural damages. Interfaces with two state-of-the-art farm simulators are implemented in WFCRL: a static simulator (FLORIS) and a dynamic simulator (FAST.Farm). For each simulator, 10 wind layouts are provided, including 5 real wind farms. Two state-of-the-art online MARL algorithms are implemented to illustrate the scaling challenges. As learning online on FAST.Farm is highly time-consuming, WFCRL offers the possibility of designing transfer learning strategies from FLORIS to FAST.Farm.


BTS: Building Timeseries Dataset: Empowering Large-Scale Building Analytics

Neural Information Processing Systems

Buildings play a crucial role in human well-being, influencing occupant comfort, health, and safety. Additionally, they contribute significantly to global energy consumption, accounting for one-third of total energy usage, and carbon emissions. Optimizing building performance presents a vital opportunity to combat climate change and promote human flourishing. However, research in building analytics has been hampered by the lack of accessible, available, and comprehensive realworld datasets on multiple building operations. In this paper, we introduce the Building TimeSeries (BTS) dataset. Our dataset covers three buildings over a three-year period, comprising more than ten thousand timeseries data points with hundreds of unique classes. Moreover, the metadata is standardized using the Brick schema. To demonstrate the utility of this dataset, we performed benchmarks on the multi-label timeseries classification task. This task represent an essential initial step in addressing challenges related to interoperability in building analytics.


FUSU: A Multi-temporal-source Land Use Change Segmentation Dataset for Fine-grained Urban Semantic Understanding

Neural Information Processing Systems

Fine urban change segmentation using multi-temporal remote sensing images is essential for understanding human-environment interactions in urban areas. Although there have been advances in high-quality land cover datasets that reveal the physical features of urban landscapes, the lack of fine-grained land use datasets hinders a deeper understanding of how human activities are distributed across the landscape and the impact of these activities on the environment, thus constraining proper technique development. To address this, we introduce FUSU, the first finegrained land use change segmentation dataset for Fine-grained Urban Semantic Understanding. FUSU features the most detailed land use classification system to date, with 17 classes and 30 billion pixels of annotations. It includes bi-temporal high-resolution satellite images with 0.2-0.5 m ground sample distance and monthly optical and radar satellite time series, covering 847 km


A Implementation Details

Neural Information Processing Systems

A.1 Derivation of Computational Cost In this section, we derive the computational complexity of the TIP algorithm. For simplicity, we focus on a single TIP planning iteration as might be done at each replanning in closed-loop control or at the start of a trial in open-loop control. In order to keep the analysis general, we assume that the chosen planning algorithm requires p accesses to the model where h actions are sequentially executed, giving ph total queries per planner execution. We also assume that the numbers of inducing points and basis functions used in our GP posterior function sampling are constant as are the Monte Carlo hyperparameters m, n. We ran all experiments on a shared research cluster available to us on large machines with hundreds of GB of memory and between 24 and 88 CPU cores.