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SoftBank plans up to 75 billion investment in French AI centers

The Japan Times

SoftBank Group plans to invest as much as €75 billion ($87 billion) to build 5 gigawatts of artificial intelligence data center capacity in France, saying the country is poised to become a top European hub for AI infrastructure. The first phase comprises an initial €45 billion investment to deliver 3.1 gigawatts of AI data center capacity in the Hauts-de-France region by 2031, SoftBank said Saturday in a statement. The commitment, which SoftBank called its biggest AI infrastructure investment in Europe, reflects personal diplomacy between Emmanuel Macron and SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son, who met during the French president's visit to Japan this year. In a time of both misinformation and too much information, quality journalism is more crucial than ever. By subscribing, you can help us get the story right. With your current subscription plan you can comment on stories.


Nonlinear and Heavy-Tailed Predictability in Transition-Energy Financial Markets

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Transition-related financial markets are increasingly exposed to abrupt repricing episodes, elevated volatility, and heterogeneous macro-financial shocks. Under such conditions, conventional Gaussian-linear forecasting frameworks may provide an incomplete representation of the dependence structure linking fossil-energy, renewable-energy, technology, and utility-sector assets. This paper investigates whether transition-related financial returns exhibit residual non-linear predictability after controlling for heavy-tailed multivariate linear dynamics. To address this question, we develop a hybrid forecasting framework combining Student-t Vector Autoregressions with nonlinear recurrent residual learning architectures. The empirical analysis considers six major exchange-traded funds representing broad equity markets and key transition-sensitive sectors. The results reveal substantial departures from Gaussian-linear behavior, including excess kurtosis, volatility clustering, and remaining nonlinear dependence after econometric filtering. Out-of-sample forecasting experiments show that the proposed framework consistently improves predictive accuracy relative to conventional VAR models, standalone machine-learning methods, and alternative hybrid specifications. The forecasting gains become more pronounced during periods of macro-financial stress, particularly during the COVID-19 crisis and the Ukraine-related energy shock. Overall, the findings suggest that transition-related financial systems exhibit regime-sensitive and heavy-tailed predictive dynamics that are insufficiently captured by standard Gaussian-linear models alone.


Evaluating the Relevance of Uncertainty Estimators for LLM Hallucination

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Large language models (LLMs) are prone to hallucinations, i.e., statements unsupported by the input or training data, hindering reliable deployment. In parallel, numerous uncertainty estimation (UE) methods have been proposed to quantify model confidence and are often implicitly treated as proxies for model failure. However, the relationship between uncertainty and hallucinations remains insufficiently characterized. We present a systematic empirical study of the association between uncertainty estimators and hallucinations in LLMs. Rather than assuming this association, we evaluate directly when and to what extent it holds. We consider a diverse set of uncertainty estimators, including information-theoretic, sampling-based, and reflexive estimators, and examine their behavior across hallucination settings. Our experiments cover both intrinsic hallucinations (violations of input faithfulness) and extrinsic hallucinations (unsupported claims relative to training data), using four complementary benchmarks, including RAGTruth and HalluLens. We find that the association is highly variable and often weak, depending on the hallucination type and the LLM under evaluation. These results challenge the use of uncertainty as a direct signal of hallucination and clarify when it provides actionable information.


Multimodality Stacking with Blockwise missing values and application to the PIONeeR biomarkers study for prediction of resistance to immunotherapy

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Integrating multimodal datasets in clinical oncology is frequently hindered by high dimensionality and blockwise missingness, where entire data sources are unavailable for specific patient subsets. Standard survival models often struggle with these gaps, leading to biased results or patient exclusion. We introduce Multimodality Stacking with Blockwise missing values (MSB), a late-fusion framework for survival analysis that independently models modality-specific features before aggregating predictions via a cross-validated stacking meta-learner. MSB was validated on the PIONeeR study (n=443 patients, 378 biomarkers across eight heterogeneous sources) to predict progression-free survival in advanced non-small cell lung cancer patients receiving immunotherapy. MSB yielded higher predictive performance (C-index) than baseline algorithms. Improvements varied by baseline strength: linear models showed a 15.9% increase (p<0.001 for the Wilcoxon signed-rank test), random survival forests gained 5.4% (p=0.002), and gradient boosting methods improved by 2.1% (p=0.030). Beyond discrimination, MSB reduced the generalization gap (train-test difference in 5 folds cross-validation repeated 3 times: 0.055 vs 0.380 for linear models). Permutation importance analysis identified routine laboratory markers, clinical features, and PD-L1 expression as primary predictive drivers. Missing block indicators showed negligible importance, suggesting the model learned from biomarker values rather than data availability patterns. MSB provides a statistically validated framework for multimodal survival prediction with blockwise missingness. By enabling systematic biomarker evaluation without requiring complete data, MSB offers a practical tool for predictive modeling in biomedical research, pending external validation. Implementation is available at https://github.com/MohamedBoussena/MSB under Inria license.


French pair held until trial after boys abandoned by road in Portugal

BBC News

A French woman and her partner will remain in custody after allegedly abandoning her two young boys on a roadside in the south of Portugal, a court has ruled. The boys were found on Tuesday evening crying beside a road near Alcacer do Sal, about 100km (60 miles) south of Lisbon. The woman and her partner, identified by authorities as Marine R and Marc B, were arrested in Fatima on Thursday. As they were being led into court on Saturday morning, the man shouted I love you in French and the boys' mother sang. A judge subsequently ordered the pair be placed in pre-trial detention, French and Portuguese media report.


Race for French presidency sees ex-PM Philippe as early favourite to beat populists

BBC News

A year to go until France chooses its next president, the big question is who can save the election from being a battle of the extremes. For now, and perhaps only for now, the answer is pretty clear. It is President Emmanuel Macron's former prime minister, Edouard Philippe. Latest opinion polls concur that the 55-year-old centre-right politician is the only figure capable of beating a hard-right candidate in round two of the vote next May, whether that is Marine Le Pen or her young deputy Jordan Bardella. In any other polled scenario, the other candidate would lose and France would have a populist-right head of state.


Air France and Airbus found guilty of manslaughter over 2009 plane crash

BBC News

Air France and Airbus have been found guilty of manslaughter over a 2009 plane crash which killed 228 people. The Paris Appeals Court found the airline and aircraft manufacturer guilty of corporate manslaughter over the incident, in which flight AF447 between Rio de Janeiro and Paris crashed into the Atlantic Ocean. The passenger jet stalled during a storm and plunged into the water, killing all on board. A court had previously cleared the companies in April 2023 but they were found guilty after this appeal. The Airbus A330 vanished from radars during a storm, with its wreckage found after a long search of 10,000 sq km (3,860 sq miles) of sea floor.


The EU Is Going Through a Trump-Fueled Breakup With Big Tech

WIRED

France is already moving on from Zoom and Microsoft Teams in favor of homegrown alternatives. Other countries are quickly following suit. As tensions between President Donald Trump and Europe continue to simmer, the continent is accelerating its moves to reduce its addiction to US technology . Cities and governments are ditching Microsoft Office for open-source alternatives, shifting to European cloud hosting for local AI, and moving defense data to systems without American involvement . Nowhere has this been more clear than in France.


CogScale: Scalable Benchmark for Sequence Processing

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The ability to maintain and manipulate information over time is a fundamental aspect of living beings and Artificial Intelligence. While modern models have achieved remarkable success in tasks like natural language processing, evaluating the capacity of novel architectures to process sequential information remains computationally expensive and time-consuming. Testing a new architecture often requires scaling up to massive datasets and models, leading to vast computational costs and slow iteration cycles. In this paper, we propose CogScale, a benchmark of 14 scalable synthetic tasks designed to isolate and evaluate specific cognitive and memory abilities at different parametrizable scales. By providing a standardized, lightweight framework, CogScale allows researchers to rapidly validate architectural innovations before committing to large-scale training. To establish a solid baseline, we evaluate seven distinct architectures: Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), xLSTM, Echo State Network (ESN), Mamba, Transformer Decoder, and Transformer Encoder-Decoder. These evaluations are conducted under strict parameter budgets (1k, 10k, and 100k) and across different difficulty levels and scales. Our results show that while classical RNNs and Echo State Networks excel at basic retention within strict parameter budgets, only attention mechanisms and modern state-space models consistently maintain high performance as reasoning complexity and task difficulty scale.


Minimax Optimal Variance-Aware Regret Bounds for Multinomial Logistic MDPs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study reinforcement learning for episodic Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) whose transitions are modelled by a multinomial logistic (MNL) model. Existing algorithms for MNL mixture MDPs yield a regret of $\smash{\tilde{O}(dH^2\sqrt{T})}$ (Li et al., 2024), where $d$ is the feature dimension, $H$ the episode length, and $T$ the number of episodes. Inspired by the logistic bandit literature (Abeille et al., 2021; Faury et al., 2022; Boudart et al., 2026), we introduce a problem-dependent constant $\barσ\_T \leq 1/2$, measuring the normalised average variance of the optimal downstream value function along the learner's trajectory. We propose an algorithm achieving a regret of $\smash{\tilde{O}(dH^2\barσ\_T\sqrt{T})}$, which recovers the existing bound in the worst case and improves upon it for structured MDPs. For instance, for KL-constrained robust MDPs, $\barσ\_T = O(H^{-1})$, reducing the horizon dependence by a factor $H$. We further establish a matching $\smash{Ω(dH^2\barσ\_T\sqrt{T})}$ lower bound, proving minimax optimality (up to logarithmic factors) and fully characterising the regret complexity of MNL mixture MDPs for the first time.