Dynamic Post-Hoc Neural Ensemblers

Arango, Sebastian Pineda, Janowski, Maciej, Purucker, Lennart, Zela, Arber, Hutter, Frank, Grabocka, Josif

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence 

Ensemble methods are known for enhancing the accuracy and robustness of machine learning models by combining multiple base learners. However, standard approaches like greedy or random ensembles often fall short, as they assume a constant weight across samples for the ensemble members. This can limit expressiveness and hinder performance when aggregating the ensemble predictions. In this study, we explore employing neural networks as ensemble methods, emphasizing the significance of dynamic ensembling to leverage diverse model predictions adaptively. Motivated by the risk of learning low-diversity ensembles, we propose regularizing the model by randomly dropping base model predictions during the training. We demonstrate this approach lower bounds the diversity within the ensemble, reducing overfitting and improving generalization capabilities. Our experiments showcase that the dynamic neural ensemblers yield competitive results compared to strong baselines in computer vision, natural language processing, and tabular data. Ensembling machine learning models is a well-established practice among practitioners and researchers, primarily due to its enhanced predictive performance over single-model predictions. Ensembles are favored for their superior accuracy and ability to provide calibrated uncertainty estimates and increased robustness against covariate shifts (Lakshminarayanan et al., 2017). Combined with their relative simplicity, these properties make ensembling the method of choice for many applications, such as medical imaging and autonomous driving, where reliability is paramount.

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