Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks for EV Charging Demand Forecasting Using Real-World Multi-Modal Data Integration

Transportation remains a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions, highlighting the urgency of transitioning toward sustainable alternatives such as Electric Vehicles (EVs). Yet, uneven spatial distribution and irregular utilization of charging infrastructure create challenges for both power grid stability and investment planning. This study introduces Traffic-Weather Graph Convolutional Network (TW-GCN), a spatio-temporal forecasting framework that combines Graph Convolutional Networks with temporal architectures to predict EV charging demand in Tennessee, United States. We utilize real-world traffic flows, weather conditions, and proprietary data provided by one of the largest U.S.-based EV infrastructure companies to capture both spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. Extensive experiments across varying forecasting horizons, clustering strategies, and sequence lengths reveal that mid-horizon (3-hour) forecasts achieve the best balance between responsiveness and stability, with One-dimensional convo-lutional neural networks consistently outperforming other temporal models. Regional analysis shows disparities in predictive accuracy across East, Middle, and West Tennessee, reflecting how station density, Points of Interest and local demand variability shape model capabilities. The proposed TW-GCN framework advances the integration of data-driven intelligence into EV infrastructure planning while supporting sustainable mobility transitions.