Intelligent Road Inspection with Advanced Machine Learning; Hybrid Prediction Models for Smart Mobility and Transportation Maintenance Systems

School of the Built Environment, Oxford Brookes University, Oxford OX3 0BP, UK; a. mosavi@brookes.ac.uk Abstract: Prediction models in mobility and transportation maintenance systems have been dramatically improved through using machine learning methods . The traditional road inspecti on systems based on the pavement condition index (PCI) are often associated with the critical safety, energy and cost issues. Alternatively, t he proposed models utilize surface deflection data from falling weight deflectometer (FWD) test s to predict the PC I. Machine learning methods are the single multi - layer perceptron (MLP) and radial basis function (RBF) neural networks as well their hybrids, i.e., L eve nberg - M arquardt (MLP - LM), scaled conjugate gradient (MLP - SCG), imperialist competitive (RBF - ICA), and g enetic algorithms (RBF - GA). Furthermore, the committee machine intelligent systems (CMIS) method was adopted to combine the results and improve the accur acy of the modeling. The results of the analysis have been verified through using four criteria of aver age percent relative error (APRE), average absolute percent relative error (AAPRE), root mean square error (RMSE), and standard error (SD). The CMIS mode l outperforms other models with the promising results of APRE 2.3303, AAPRE 11.6768, RMSE 12.0056, and SD 0.0210. Introduction In road transportation, pavement plays a vital role as th e part of the road that is in direct contact with vehicles . U sers' judgment about the quality of road service is primarily predicated upon pavement conditions. The Maintena nce, Rehabilitation, and Reconstruction (MR&R) program of pavement network is a multidimensional decision - making process that takes into account several consideration s.