Lane Change Intention Prediction of two distinct Populations using a Transformer

De Cristofaro, Francesco, Lex, Cornelia, Hu, Jia, Eichberger, Arno

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence 

--As a result of the growing importance of lane change intention prediction for a safe and efficient driving experience in complex driving scenarios, researchers have in recent years started to train novel machine learning algorithms on available datasets with promising results. A shortcoming of this recent research effort, though, is that the vast majority of the proposed algorithms are trained on a single datasets. In doing so, researchers failed to test if their algorithm would be as effective if tested on a different dataset and, by extension, on a different population with respect to the one on which they were trained. In this article we test a transformer designed for lane change intention prediction on two datasets collected by LevelX in Germany and Hong Kong. We found that the transformer's accuracy plummeted when tested on a population different to the one it was trained on with accuracy values as low as 39 . Index T erms --Motion prediction, intention prediction, lane change prediction, motion planning, decision making, automated driving, autonomous driving, artificial intelligence.

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