Probing the properties of molecules and complex materials using machine learning

The application of machine learning to predicting the properties of small and large discrete (single) molecules and complex materials (polymeric, extended or mixtures of molecules) has been increasing exponentially over the past few decades. Unlike physics-based and rule-based computational systems, machine learning algorithms can learn complex relationships between physicochemical and process parameters and their useful properties for an extremely diverse range of molecular entities. Both the breadth of machine learning methods and the range of physical, chemical, materials, biological, medical and many other application areas have increased markedly in the past decade. This Account summarises three decades of research into improved cheminformatics and machine learning methods and their application to drug design, regenerative medicine, biomaterials, porous and 2D materials, catalysts, biomarkers, surface science, physicochemical and phase properties, nanomaterials, electrical and optical properties, corrosion and battery research. Science has always been fascinated by change, uncovering new aspects of Nature and finding useful ways to exploit them to meet global challenges. The rate of change is accelerating, with average time between innovations decreasing exponentially (Figure 1). Computational molecular design prior to 1990 was focused on the use of computationally expensive physics-based methods like molecular modelling, molecular mechanics, molecular dynamics and quantum chemistry. The quantitative structure–activity relationship (QSAR) methods, developed by Hansch and Fujita in the 1960s, were based on the observation that changes in the constitution of small organic molecules generated a corresponding change in their biological activities. Regression methods were used to find relationships between structure, encoded by mathematical entities called descriptors or features, and biological properties of small organic molecules, also numerically encoded. QSAR use was limited to modelling of small data sets of molecules with similar scaffolds, with the primary aim of understanding the molecular basis for drug (or agrochemical) action. As they were not mechanism- or physics-based, their empirical nature created doubt as to their efficacy, the question of when correlation means causation (still an important issue), and lack of data were major barriers to their wider adoption. After that time, technological developments involving automation, computational power, algorithms, synthesis and informatics have maintained this exponential acceleration.