Learning battery model parameter dynamics from data with recursive Gaussian process regression

Demand for battery systems is increasing rapidly as efforts Prognosis (i.e., future prediction) in this framework is to decarbonise electricity grids and electrify mobility gather achieved using a separate model for the evolution of parameters pace [1]. Due to their long lifetime and high energy density, over battery lifetime, and this can range from a random Li-ion cells have become the workhorse in battery systems walk [8]-[10] to semi-empirical curve fits of trajectories that [2]. Although the cost of these has dramatically decreased in may be re-parameterised over lifetime using adaptive methods the last decade [3], the economics of storage needs to further such as particle filtering [13], [14], a Bayesian approach improve to increase take-up, notably in applications where that also provides parameter uncertainty estimates. Modeldriven battery systems are not yet competitive in terms of levelized approaches tend to use rather simple equivalent-circuit cost [4]. Also, given the risks of Li-ion cell demand outpacing models because they have relatively few parameters that need the supply of the required raw materials [5], it is crucial that to be fitted, whereas parameterising physics-based models, the performance of existing systems, especially in terms of such as those within the Doyle-Fuller-Newman framework lifetime, is maximised. A key element in improving the overall [15], [16], is plagued by poor identifiability [17]. This is cost-effectiveness of Li-ion batteries is accurate estimation mainly due to a lack of reference electrodes in commercial and prediction of battery state-of-health (SOH), which can cells which means that decoupling the positive and negative improve lifetime, warranty and insurance costs, system safety half-cell potentials is very difficult.