Hazard-Responsive Digital Twin for Climate-Driven Urban Resilience and Equity

Complex events such as wildfires, floods, and heatwaves are no longer isolated phenomena but interlinked hazards that propagate through interconnected infrastructure networks. When one system fails, others that depend on it often cascade toward collapse, producing widespread disruption and social inequity. Recent crises including the 2023 Vermont flooding, the 2024 Texas winter freeze, and the 2025 Southern California wildfire illustrate how climate - amplified events can simultaneously strain energy, water, communication, and transportation systems. Traditional risk assessments, which often treat hazards as discrete and static events, are insufficient to capture the evolving and compounding nature of modern disasters. Digital Twin (DT) technology offers a promising avenue for improving situational awareness and decision - making under such conditions. Originally introduced for aerospace engineering and later adopted across industrial sectors, DTs create real - time virtual counterparts of physical systems using sensor data, predictive modeling, and feedback control (Grieves & Vickers, 2018; Tao et al., 2019) . Within the built environment, DTs have been applied to asset monitoring, predictive maintenance, and urban system management (Errandonea et al., 2020; Fogli, 2019; Fuller et al., 2020) . However, most conventional DTs rely on stable connectivity, complete datasets, and deterministic control assumptions that are not held during crises characterized by cascading failures and data disruption. To address these challenges, the concept of the Risk - Informed Digital Twin (RDT) integrates probabilistic modeling, uncertainty quantification, and decision support within the DT architecture (Pignatta & Alibrandi, 2022; Zio & Miqueles, 2024) .