Long-term prediction of chaotic systems with recurrent neural networks
Fan, Huawei, Jiang, Junjie, Zhang, Chun, Wang, Xingang, Lai, Ying-Cheng
The prediction horizon demonstrated has been about half dozen Lyapunov time. Is it possible to significantly extend the prediction time beyond what has been achieved so far? We articulate a scheme incorporating time-dependent but sparse data inputs into reservoir computing and demonstrate that such rare "updates" of the actual state practically enable an arbitrarily long prediction horizon for a variety of chaotic systems. A physical understanding based on the theory of temporal synchronization is developed. Starting from the same initial condition, a well-trained reservoir system can generate a trajectory that stays close to that of the target system for a finite amount of time, realizing short-term prediction.
Mar-6-2020
- Country:
- Asia > China
- Shaanxi Province > Xi'an (0.04)
- Europe > Germany (0.04)
- North America > United States
- Arizona > Maricopa County > Tempe (0.04)
- Asia > China
- Genre:
- Research Report (0.64)
- Industry:
- Energy (0.46)
- Technology: