Yes, China is probably outspending the US in AI--but not on defense
But new estimates from the Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET) show that China is likely spending far less on AI than previously assumed. Additionally, most of its AI money seems to be going to non-military-related research, such as fundamental algorithm development, robotics research, and smart-infrastructure development. By contrast, the US's planned spending for fiscal year 2020 allocates the majority of its AI budget to defense, which means it will likely outspend China in that category. In other words, the numbers directly oppose the prevailing narrative.