Brazil picked as 2022 World Cup winners by Alan Turing Institute model

Brazil is the most likely winner of the 2022 football World Cup according to a prediction model from the Alan Turing Institute in London. The publicly accessible model gives Brazil a 1-in-4 chance, with England's chances put at less than 1 in 10. Many people, from bookies to bankers, have run models trying to predict the winner and losers of the men's football 2022 World Cup in Qatar, but most of these models are run behind closed doors. Nick Barlow at the Alan Turing Institute and his colleagues have developed a model that people can run on their laptops at home, with 1000 tournament run-throughs taking 15 minutes on an average laptop. "It's quite important to us for most of the things we do that we make them open source," says Barlow. "We encourage people to get involved, to use our code and to contribute to it."