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As the Primary season has progressed, there's been no end of political pundits backpedaling and mea-culpa-ing over their previous inability to predict the rise of Donald Trump to become the frontrunner in the GOP. From Charles Krauthammer admitting that it was wrong to laugh at The Donald to innumerable others, both liberal and conservative, wishing they'd take Trump seriously, it seems like just about everyone in the Predictive Class will be dining on roast crow this Easter. But why did they get things so wrong? Was it because they assumed that he'd "crash and burn" like John Podhoretz? Was it because they assumed that he couldn't win because Republican voters hated him, as implied by Patrick Murray of Monmouth University when releasing early poll results in June of 2015?