Peter Thiel: Artificial General Intelligence Isn't Happening

In his talk yesterday at COSM 2021, venture capitalist and philanthropist Peter Thiel -- the ultimate Silicon Valley insider, prophet, and sometimes needed gadfly -- offered a cold shower for transhumanism, The Singularity, the computers we will supposedly merge with by 2030, and all that. Those things, he thinks, are uncertain. We should worry about what's happening now in everyday time, to which, in his view, too few are paying heed: The growth of total AI-based surveillance and the disappearance of privacy. Thiel considers arguments about whether computers that think like people will ever be developed to be "above his pay grade." Given that he is reputed to be worth $3.7B dollars, that's a polite way of saying that such arguments are a pleasant waste of time.