Artificial Intelligence in 2020

Where have we been, where are we now, and where are we headed? I've written this in first person format so the reader can see it through my eyes from the trenches, including observations, conclusions and questions. In looking back over time, it helps me to revisit milestone articles I've written and read. Although my first published paper on our AI R&D was in 2002, I'll start by looking back at a futuristic scenario on the American healthcare system published in 2010. A decade is a nice round number and was also the same year my old friend and former business partner Russell Borland passed away unexpectedly. Russell was a close friend from the early 1980s on. He was involved with our journey at KYield since inception in the mid 1990s, so losing him was a shock. I emailed the healthcare scenario to Vint Cerf who asked me if he could share it -- the paper was on the web so of course I said yes. The next thing I know enormous numbers of downloads were occurring (don't underestimate Vint's network, or Google's). We stopped counting at several million views from healthcare institutions all over the world, and that's just on our site (others have published the paper on the web without permission).