Improving Predictions with Hybrid Markets
Nagar, Yiftach (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) | Malone, Thomas W. (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Statistical models almost always yield predictions that are more accurate than those of human experts. However, humans are better at data acquisition and at recognizing atypical circumstances. We use prediction markets to combine predictions from groups of humans and artificial-intelligence agents and show that they are more robust than those from groups of humans or agents alone.
Nov-5-2012
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