Amortized Simulation-Based Frequentist Inference for Tractable and Intractable Likelihoods
Kadhim, Ali Al, Prosper, Harrison B., Prosper, Olivia F.
High-fidelity simulators that connect theoretical models with observations are indispensable tools in many sciences. When coupled with machine learning, a simulator makes it possible to infer the parameters of a theoretical model directly from real and simulated observations without explicit use of the likelihood function. This is of particular interest when the latter is intractable. In this work, we introduce a simple extension of the recently proposed likelihood-free frequentist inference (LF2I) approach that has some computational advantages. Like LF2I, this extension yields provably valid confidence sets in parameter inference problems in which a high-fidelity simulator is available. The utility of our algorithm is illustrated by applying it to three pedagogically interesting examples: the first is from cosmology, the second from high-energy physics and astronomy, both with tractable likelihoods, while the third, with an intractable likelihood, is from epidemiology.
Nov-1-2023
- Country:
- Europe
- France > Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes
- Switzerland > Geneva
- Geneva (0.04)
- North America > United States
- Florida > Leon County
- Tallahassee (0.04)
- Tennessee > Knox County
- Knoxville (0.14)
- Florida > Leon County
- Europe
- Genre:
- Research Report (0.82)
- Industry:
- Technology: