Conformal Prediction Bands for Two-Dimensional Functional Time Series

Functional data analysis (FDA) (Ramsay and Silverman 2005) is naturally apt to represent and model this kind of data, as it allows preserving their continuous nature, and provides a rigorous mathematical framework. Among the others, Zhou and Pan 2014 analyzed temperature surfaces, presenting two approaches for Functional Principal Component Analysis (FPCA) of functions defined on a non-rectangular domain, Porro-Muñoz et al. 2014 focuses on image processing using FDA, while a novel regularization technique for Gaussian random fields on a rectangular domain has been proposed by Rakêt 2010 and applied to 2D electrophoresis images. Another bivariate smoothing approach in a penalized regression framework has been introduced by Ivanescu and Andrada 2013, allowing for the estimation of functional parameters of two-dimensional functional data. As shown by Gervini 2010, even mortality rates can be interpreted as two-dimensional functional data. Whereas in all the reviewed works functions are assumed to be realization of iid or at least exchangeable random objects, to the best of our knowledge there is no literature focusing on forecasting time-dependent two-dimensional functional data. In this work, we focus on time series of surfaces, representing them as two-dimensional Functional Time Series (FTS).