assimilation
- North America > United States > Colorado > Boulder County > Boulder (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
- North America > Canada > Alberta > Census Division No. 15 > Improvement District No. 9 > Banff (0.04)
FNP: Fourier Neural Processes for Arbitrary-Resolution Data Assimilation
Data assimilation is a vital component in modern global medium-range weather forecasting systems to obtain the best estimation of the atmospheric state by combining the short-term forecast and observations. Recently, AI-based data assimilation approaches have attracted increasing attention for their significant advantages over traditional techniques in terms of computational consumption. However, existing AI-based data assimilation methods can only handle observations with a specific resolution, lacking the compatibility and generalization ability to assimilate observations with other resolutions. Considering that complex real-world observations often have different resolutions, we propose the Fourier Neural Processes (FNP) for arbitrary-resolution data assimilation in this paper. Leveraging the efficiency of the designed modules and flexible structure of neural processes, FNP achieves state-of-the-art results in assimilating observations with varying resolutions, and also exhibits increasing advantages over the counterparts as the resolution and the amount of observations increase. Moreover, our FNP trained on a fixed resolution can directly handle the assimilation of observations with out-of-distribution resolutions and the observational information reconstruction task without additional fine-tuning, demonstrating its excellent generalization ability across data resolutions as well as across tasks.
XiChen: An observation-scalable fully AI-driven global weather forecasting system with 4D variational knowledge
Wang, Wuxin, Ni, Weicheng, Huang, Lilan, Hao, Tao, Fei, Ben, Ma, Shuo, Yuan, Taikang, Zhao, Yanlai, Deng, Kefeng, Li, Xiaoyong, Leng, Hongze, Duan, Boheng, Bai, Lei, Zhang, Weimin, Ren, Kaijun, Song, Junqiang
Artificial intelligence (AI)-driven models have the potential to revolutionize weather forecasting, but still rely on initial conditions generated by costly Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems. Although recent end-to-end forecasting models attempt to bypass NWP systems, these methods lack scalable assimilation of new types of observational data. Here, we introduce XiChen, an observation-scalable fully AI-driven global weather forecasting system, wherein the entire pipeline, from Data Assimilation (DA) to medium-range forecasting, can be accomplished within only 15 seconds. XiChen is built upon a foundation model that is pre-trained for weather forecasting and subsequently fine-tuned to serve as both observation operators and DA models, thereby enabling the scalable assimilation of conventional and raw satellite observations. Furthermore, the integration of Four-Dimensional Variational (4DVar) knowledge ensures XiChen to achieve DA and medium-range forecasting accuracy comparable to operational NWP systems, with skillful forecasting lead time beyond 8.75 days. A key feature of XiChen is its ability to maintain physical balance constraints during DA, enabling observed variables to correct unobserved ones effectively. In single-point perturbation DA experiments, XiChen exhibits flow-dependent characteristics similar to those of traditional 4DVar systems. These results demonstrate that XiChen holds strong potential for fully AI-driven weather forecasting independent of NWP systems.
SWR-Viz: AI-assisted Interactive Visual Analytics Framework for Ship Weather Routing
Hazarika, Subhashis, Lupin-Jimenez, Leonard, Vuppala, Rohit, Chattopadhyay, Ashesh, Wong, Hon Yung
Efficient and sustainable maritime transport increasingly depends on reliable forecasting and adaptive routing, yet operational adoption remains difficult due to forecast latencies and the need for human judgment in rapid decision-making under changing ocean conditions. We introduce SWR-Viz, an AI-assisted visual analytics framework that combines a physics-informed Fourier Neural Operator wave forecast model with SIMROUTE-based routing and interactive emissions analytics. The framework generates near-term forecasts directly from current conditions, supports data assimilation with sparse observations, and enables rapid exploration of what-if routing scenarios. We evaluate the forecast models and SWR-Viz framework along key shipping corridors in the Japan Coast and Gulf of Mexico, showing both improved forecast stability and realistic routing outcomes comparable to ground-truth reanalysis wave products. Expert feedback highlights the usability of SWR-Viz, its ability to isolate voyage segments with high emission reduction potential, and its value as a practical decision-support system. More broadly, this work illustrates how lightweight AI forecasting can be integrated with interactive visual analytics to support human-centered decision-making in complex geospatial and environmental domains.
- North America > Mexico (0.25)
- Atlantic Ocean > Gulf of Mexico (0.25)
- North America > United States > California > Santa Cruz County > Santa Cruz (0.04)
- Asia > Japan > Honshū > Kantō > Tokyo Metropolis Prefecture > Tokyo (0.04)
- Energy (1.00)
- Transportation > Marine (0.46)
Appa: Bending Weather Dynamics with Latent Diffusion Models for Global Data Assimilation
Andry, Gérôme, Lewin, Sacha, Rozet, François, Rochman, Omer, Mangeleer, Victor, Pirlet, Matthias, Faulx, Elise, Grégoire, Marilaure, Louppe, Gilles
Deep learning has advanced weather forecasting, but accurate predictions first require identifying the current state of the atmosphere from observational data. In this work, we introduce Appa, a score-based data assimilation model generating global atmospheric trajectories at 0.25\si{\degree} resolution and 1-hour intervals. Powered by a 565M-parameter latent diffusion model trained on ERA5, Appa can be conditioned on arbitrary observations to infer plausible trajectories, without retraining. Our probabilistic framework handles reanalysis, filtering, and forecasting, within a single model, producing physically consistent reconstructions from various inputs. Results establish latent score-based data assimilation as a promising foundation for future global atmospheric modeling systems.
- North America > United States (0.14)
- Europe > Austria > Vienna (0.14)
- Europe > Belgium > Wallonia (0.04)
DAMBench: A Multi-Modal Benchmark for Deep Learning-based Atmospheric Data Assimilation
Wang, Hao, Weng, Zixuan, Han, Jindong, Fan, Wei, Liu, Hao
Data Assimilation is a cornerstone of atmospheric system modeling, tasked with reconstructing system states by integrating sparse, noisy observations with prior estimation. While traditional approaches like variational and ensemble Kalman filtering have proven effective, recent advances in deep learning offer more scalable, efficient, and flexible alternatives better suited for complex, real-world data assimilation involving large-scale and multi-modal observations. However, existing deep learning-based DA research suffers from two critical limitations: (1) reliance on oversimplified scenarios with synthetically perturbed observations, and (2) the absence of standardized benchmarks for fair model comparison. To address these gaps, in this work, we introduce DAMBench, the first large-scale multi-modal benchmark designed to evaluate data-driven DA models under realistic atmospheric conditions. DAMBench integrates high-quality background states from state-of-the-art forecasting systems and real-world multi-modal observations (i.e., real-world weather stations and satellite imagery). All data are resampled to a common grid and temporally aligned to support systematic training, validation, and testing. We provide unified evaluation protocols and benchmark representative data assimilation approaches, including latent generative models and neural process frameworks. Additionally, we propose a lightweight multi-modal plugin to demonstrate how integrating realistic observations can enhance even simple baselines. Through comprehensive experiments, DAMBench establishes a rigorous foundation for future research, promoting reproducibility, fair comparison, and extensibility to real-world multi-modal scenarios. Our dataset and code are publicly available at https://github.com/figerhaowang/DAMBench.
Fire-EnSF: Wildfire Spread Data Assimilation using Ensemble Score Filter
Shi, Hongzheng, Wang, Yuhang, Liu, Xiao
As wildfires become increasingly destructive and expensive to control, effective management of active wildfires requires accurate, real-time fire spread predictions. To enhance the forecasting accuracy of active fires, data assimilation plays a vital role by integrating observations (such as remote-sensing data) and fire predictions generated from numerical models. This paper provides a comprehensive investigation on the application of a recently proposed diffusion-model-based filtering algorithm -- the Ensemble Score Filter (EnSF) -- to the data assimilation problem for real-time active wildfire spread predictions. Leveraging a score-based generative diffusion model, EnSF has been shown to have superior accuracy for high-dimensional nonlinear filtering problems, making it an ideal candidate for the filtering problems of wildfire spread models. Technical details are provided, and our numerical investigations demonstrate that EnSF provides superior accuracy, stability, and computational efficiency, establishing it as a robust and practical method for wildfire data assimilation. Our code has been made publicly available.
- North America > United States > Rocky Mountains (0.04)
- North America > Canada > Rocky Mountains (0.04)
- North America > United States > Nevada (0.04)
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- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (1.00)
- Food & Agriculture > Agriculture (0.68)
- Energy (0.66)