Artificial Intelligence's Promise and Peril

John Quackenbush was frustrated with Google. It was January 2020, and a team led by researchers from Google Health had just published a study in Nature about an artificial intelligence (AI) system they had developed to analyze mammograms for signs of breast cancer. The system didn't just work, according to the study, it worked exceptionally well. When the team fed it two large sets of images to analyze--one from the UK and one from the U.S.--it reduced false positives by 1.2 and 5.7 percent and false negatives by 2.7 and 9.4 percent compared with the original determinations made by medical professionals. In a separate test that pitted the AI system against six board-certified radiologists in analyzing nearly 500 mammograms, the algorithm outperformed each of the specialists. The authors concluded that the system was "capable of surpassing human experts in breast cancer prediction" and ready for clinical trials. An avalanche of buzzy headlines soon followed. "Google AI system can beat doctors at detecting breast cancer," a CNN story declared.