AI's impact on elections is being overblown

While there will be more elections this year where AI could have an effect, the United States being one likely to attract particular attention, the trend observed thus far is unlikely to change. AI is being used to try to influence electoral processes, but these efforts have not been fruitful. Commenting on the upcoming US election, Meta's latest Adversarial Threat Report acknowledged that AI was being used to meddle--for example, by Russia-based operations--but that "GenAI-powered tactics provide only incremental productivity and content-generation gains" to such "threat actors." This echoes comments from the company's president of global affairs, Nick Clegg, who earlier this year stated that "it is striking how little these tools have been used on a systematic basis to really try to subvert and disrupt the elections." Far from being dominated by AI-enabled catastrophes, this election "super year" at that point was pretty much like every other election year.