Well-calibrated Model Uncertainty with Temperature Scaling for Dropout Variational Inference

Laves, Max-Heinrich, Ihler, Sontje, Kortmann, Karl-Philipp, Ortmaier, Tobias

arXiv.org Machine Learning 

In this paper, well-calibrated model uncertainty is obtained by using temperature scaling together with Monte Carlo dropout as approximation to Bayesian inference. The proposed approach can easily be derived from frequentist temperature scaling and yields well-calibrated model uncertainty as well as softmax likelihood.

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