Finite-Time 4-Expert Prediction Problem

Bayraktar, Erhan, Ekren, Ibrahim, Zhang, Xin

arXiv.org Machine Learning 

We explicitly solve the nonlinear PDE that is the continuous limit of dynamic programming of \emph{expert prediction problem} in finite horizon setting with $N=4$ experts. The \emph{expert prediction problem} is formulated as a zero sum game between a player and an adversary. By showing that the solution is $\mathcal{C}^2$, we are able to show that the strategies conjectured in arXiv:1409.3040G form an asymptotic Nash equilibrium. We also prove the "Finite vs Geometric regret" conjecture proposed in arXiv:1409.3040G for $N=4$, and we give a stronger conjecture which characterizes the relation between the finite and geometric stopping.

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