A Unified Evaluation Framework for Epistemic Predictions

Manchingal, Shireen Kudukkil, Mubashar, Muhammad, Wang, Kaizheng, Cuzzolin, Fabio

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence 

X Y the available training set, diverse, ranging from single point estimates N being the number of training instances. In Bayesian (often averaged over prediction samples) to Neural Networks (BNNs) (Buntine and Weigend, 1991; predictive distributions, to set-valued or Neal, 2012; Jospin et al., 2022; Kingma and Welling, credal-set representations. We propose a novel 2013), this uncertainty is explicitly represented through unified evaluation framework for uncertaintyaware posterior predictive distributions over the parameter classifiers, applicable to a wide range space. In Deep Ensembles (DEs) (Lakshminarayanan of model classes, which allows users to tailor et al., 2017), a predictive distribution is formed by the trade-off between accuracy and precision aggregating the individual predictions generated by of predictions via a suitably designed performance multiple independently trained models.

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