Murmurations, Mestre--Nagao sums, and Convolutional Neural Networks for elliptic curves

Bieri, Joanna, Costa, Edgar, Deines, Alyson, Lee, Kyu-Hwan, Lowry-Duda, David, Oliver, Thomas, Qi, Yidi, Veenstra, Tamara

arXiv.org Machine Learning 

We apply one-dimensional convolutional neural networks to the Frobenius traces of elliptic curves over $\mathbb{Q}$ and evaluate and interpret their predictive capacity. In keeping with similar experiments by Kazalicki--Vlah, Bujanović--Kazalicki--Novak, and Pozdnyakov, we observe high accuracy predictions for the analytic rank across a range of conductors. We interpret the prediction using saliency curves and explore the interesting interplay between murmurations and Mestre--Nagao sums, the details of which vary with the conductor and the (predicted) rank.

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