Inductive randomness predictors

Vovk, Vladimir

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence 

This paper introduces inductive randomness predictors, which form a superset of inductive conformal predictors. Its focus is on a very simple special case, binary inductive randomness predictors. It is interesting that binary inductive randomness predictors have an advantage over inductive conformal predictors, although they also have a serious disadvantage. This advantage will allow us to reach the surprising conclusion that non-trivial inductive conformal predictors are inadmissible in the sense of statistical decision theory.

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