Sensitivity Analysis for Predictive Uncertainty in Bayesian Neural Networks

Depeweg, Stefan, Hernández-Lobato, José Miguel, Udluft, Steffen, Runkler, Thomas

arXiv.org Machine Learning 

We derive a novel sensitivity analysis of input variables for predictive epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. We use Bayesian neural networks with latent variables as a model class and illustrate the usefulness of our sensitivity analysis on real-world datasets. Our method increases the interpretability of complex black-box probabilistic models.

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