Assessing the Applicability of Natural Language Processing to Traditional Social Science Methodology: A Case Study in Identifying Strategic Signaling Patterns in Presidential Directives

Our research investigates how Natural Language Processing (NLP) can be u sed to extract main topics from a larger corpus of written data, as applied to the case of identifying signaling themes in Presidential Directives (PDs) from the Reagan through Clinton administrations . Analysts and NLP both identified relevant documents, demonstrating the potential utility of NLPs in research involving large written corpuses. H owever, we also identified discrepancies between NLP and human - labeled results that indicate a need for more research to assess the validity of NLP in this use case . The research was conducted in 2023, and the rapidly evolving landscape of AIML means existing tools have improved and new tools have been developed; this research displays the inherent capabilities of a potentially dated AI tool in emerging social science applications .