LSTM-Based Forecasting and Analysis of EV Charging Demand in a Dense Urban Campus

Ressler, Zak, Grijalva, Marcus, Ignacio, Angelica Marie, Torres, Melanie, Rojas, Abelardo Cuadra, Moghadam, Rohollah, narimani, Mohammad Rasoul

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence 

--This paper presents a framework for processing EV charging load data in order to forecast future load predictions using a Recurrent Neural Network, specifically an LSTM. The framework processes a large set of raw data from multiple locations and transforms it with normalization and feature extraction to train the LSTM. The pre-processing stage corrects for missing or incomplete values by interpolating and normalizing the measurements. This information is then fed into a Long Short-T erm Memory Model designed to capture the short-term fluctuations while also interpreting the long-term trends in the charging data. Experimental results demonstrate the model's ability to accurately predict charging demand across multiple time scales (daily, weekly, and monthly), providing valuable insights for infrastructure planning, energy management, and grid integration of EV charging facilities. The system's modular design allows for adaptation to di fferent charging locations with varying usage patterns, making it applicable across diverse deployment scenarios. I. INTRODUCTION The transition to electric vehicles (EVs) is crucial for mitigating climate change by reducing greenhouse gas emissions and reliance on fossil fuels. However, as EV adoption increases [1], the installation of numerous EV charging stations (EVCS) poses challenges to electric grids, particularly in dense communities. The increased demand for EVCS strains electric grid systems, leading to issues such as voltage drops and transformer overloads. Understanding these problems and their impacts is crucial for optimizing grid performance and ensuring sustainable EV infrastructure development. Therefore, accurately predicting EVCS load demand helps manage grid load, improve power network e fficiency, and ensure reliable customer access to charging stations.

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