envelope
Anytime-Valid Federated Conformal RAG for LLM Swarms
Dubey, Prasanjit, Huo, Xiaoming
Federated Conformal RAG (FC-RAG) provides distribution-free coverage for a bandwidth-limited swarm of weak language models, but only at a fixed horizon. We extend it to anytime-valid sequential coverage: validity at every stopping time, preserved under predictable adaptive control (recalibration, per-node bandwidth escalation, distilled-student refresh), at no extra cost in assumptions over fixed-horizon FC-RAG. Naive composition fails because FC-RAG's marginal coverage bound makes the betting e-process a non-supermartingale on adverse calibration draws, and Ville's inequality cannot be invoked. We give Anytime-FC-RAG, a sequential extension built on a summable per-step calibration-deviation budget that converts the marginal bound into a strict conditional bound on a calibration-good event, paired with a truncated betting e-process that is a nonnegative supermartingale on the entire probability space. From these two ingredients, we obtain four guarantees: time-uniform alarm validity $\mathbb{P}(\sup_t E_t \ge 1/ฮด_e) \le ฮด_e + ฮด_{\mathrm{cal}}$, a Hoeffding-stitched cumulative-miscoverage envelope at the same total budget, safety under any predictable controller (recalibration, bandwidth escalation, student refresh), and training-side error propagation across an unbounded sequence of Federated Probe-Logit Distillation (FPLD) refreshes via a summable training budget. As a practical consequence, an adaptive controller that escalates retrieval bandwidth only when the e-process crosses a warning threshold matches the alarm rate of a fixed-high-bandwidth schedule at substantially lower communication cost. Experiments on a GPT-2-small + MiniLM swarm across MMLU, DBpedia, and AG News verify the predicted alarm rate, detection delay, envelope coverage, and $14$-$57\%$ bandwidth savings; the alarm fires when and only when coverage genuinely breaks.
Regret Analysis of Guided Diffusion for Black-Box Optimization over Structured Inputs
Adachi, Masaki, Yang, Anita, Wang, Yakun, Liu, Song
Guided-diffusion black-box optimization (BO) has shown strong empirical performance on structured design problems such as molecules and crystals, but its regret behavior remains poorly understood. Existing BO regret analyses typically rely on maximum information gain, non-pretrained surrogate models, or exact acquisition maximization -- assumptions that break down in modern diffusion -- BO pipelines, where pretrained diffusion models serve as powerful priors over valid structures and acquisition maximization is replaced by approximate sampling over astronomically large discrete spaces. We develop a first certificate-based expected simple-regret framework for guided-diffusion BO that avoids maximum-information-gain bounds, RKHS assumptions, and exact acquisition maximization. The central quantity in our analysis is mass lift: the increase in probability mass assigned to near-optimal designs relative to the pretrained generator. This view explains how exponential-looking finite-budget convergence and polynomial acceleration can all arise from the same mechanism. We also give practical diagnostics for estimating search exponents from finite candidate pools and a proposal-corrected resampling construction that provides a fully certified sampler instance.
An Efficient Spatial Branch-and-Bound Algorithm for Global Optimization of Gaussian Process Posterior Mean Functions
Tang, Wei-Ting, Kudva, Akshay, Tsay, Calvin, Paulson, Joel A.
We study the deterministic global optimization of trained Gaussian process posterior mean functions over hyperrectangular domains. Although the posterior mean function has a compact closed-form representation, its global optimization is challenging because it remains nonlinear and nonconvex. Existing exact deterministic approaches become increasingly difficult to scale as the number of training data points grows, leading to approximation-based methods that improve tractability by optimizing a modified (inexact) objective. In this work, we propose PALM-Mean, a piecewise-analytic lower-bounding framework embedded in reduced-space spatial branch-and-bound. At each node, kernel terms that are locally important are replaced by a sign-aware piecewise-linear relaxation in an appropriate scalar distance variable, while the remaining terms are bounded analytically in closed form. We show this hybrid approach yields a valid lower bound for the posterior mean, while limiting the size of the branch-and-bound subproblems. We establish validity of the node lower bounds and $\varepsilon$-global convergence of the resulting algorithm. Computational results on synthetic benchmarks and real-world application problems show that PALM-Mean improves scalability relative to representative general-purpose deterministic global solvers, particularly as the number of training data points increases.
He Became a Mathematician in Prison. Now, He's Stuck There.
Christopher Havens was approved for release by the Washington State Clemency Board. All he needed was the governor's signature. Christopher Havens has a part-time position as research staff at the University of California at Los Angeles. And he's had a prolific few years. In June 2020, Havens published an article in the journal Research in Number Theory with co-authors from the University of Torino in Italy.
An Asymptotic Law of the Iterated Logarithm for $\mathrm{KL}_{\inf}$
The population $\mathrm{KL}_{\inf}$ is a fundamental quantity that appears in lower bounds for (asymptotically) optimal regret of pure-exploration stochastic bandit algorithms, and optimal stopping time of sequential tests. Motivated by this, an empirical $\mathrm{KL}_{\inf}$ statistic is frequently used in the design of (asymptotically) optimal bandit algorithms and sequential tests. While nonasymptotic concentration bounds for the empirical $\mathrm{KL}_{\inf}$ have been developed, their optimality in terms of constants and rates is questionable, and their generality is limited (usually to bounded observations). The fundamental limits of nonasymptotic concentration are often described by the asymptotic fluctuations of the statistics. With that motivation, this paper presents a tight (upper and lower) law of the iterated logarithm for empirical $\mathrm{KL}_{\inf}$ applying to extremely general (unbounded) data.
More Than Bits: Multi-Envelope Double Binary Factorization for Extreme Quantization
Ichikawa, Yuma, Fujisawa, Yoshihiko, Fujimoto, Yudai, Sakai, Akira, Fujisawa, Katsuki
For extreme low-bit quantization of large language models (LLMs), Double Binary Factorization (DBF) is attractive as it enables efficient inference without sacrificing accuracy. However, the scaling parameters of DBF are too restrictive; after factoring out signs, all rank components share the same magnitude profile, resulting in performance saturation. We propose Multi-envelope DBF (MDBF), which retains a shared pair of 1-bit sign bases but replaces the single envelope with a rank-$l$ envelope. By sharing sign matrices among envelope components, MDBF effectively maintains a binary carrier and utilizes the limited memory budget for magnitude expressiveness. We also introduce a closed-form initialization and an alternating refinement method to optimize MDBF. Across the LLaMA and Qwen families, MDBF enhances perplexity and zero-shot accuracy over previous binary formats at matched bits per weight while preserving the same deployment-friendly inference primitive.
Structure-Preserving Nonlinear Sufficient Dimension Reduction for Tensors
Lin, Dianjun, Li, Bing, Xue, Lingzhou
We introduce two nonlinear sufficient dimension reduction methods for regressions with tensor-valued predictors. Our goal is two-fold: the first is to preserve the tensor structure when performing dimension reduction, particularly the meaning of the tensor modes, for improved interpretation; the second is to substantially reduce the number of parameters in dimension reduction, thereby achieving model parsimony and enhancing estimation accuracy. Our two tensor dimension reduction methods echo the two commonly used tensor decomposition mechanisms: one is the Tucker decomposition, which reduces a larger tensor to a smaller one; the other is the CP-decomposition, which represents an arbitrary tensor as a sequence of rank-one tensors. We developed the Fisher consistency of our methods at the population level and established their consistency and convergence rates. Both methods are easy to implement numerically: the Tucker-form can be implemented through a sequence of least-squares steps, and the CP-form can be implemented through a sequence of singular value decompositions. We investigated the finite-sample performance of our methods and showed substantial improvement in accuracy over existing methods in simulations and two data applications.