Risk Aversion in Markov Decision Processes via Near Optimal Chernoff Bounds

The expected return is a widely used objective in decision making under uncertainty. Manyalgorithms, such as value iteration, have been proposed to optimize it. In risk-aware settings, however, the expected return is often not an appropriate objective to optimize. We propose a new optimization objective for risk-aware planning and show that it has desirable theoretical properties. We also draw connections topreviously proposed objectives for risk-aware planing: minmax, exponential utility,percentile and mean minus variance. Our method applies to an extended class of Markov decision processes: we allow costs to be stochastic as long as they are bounded. Additionally, we present an efficient algorithm for optimizing theproposed objective. Synthetic and real-world experiments illustrate the effectiveness of our method, at scale.