This economist won every bet he made on the future. Then he tested ChatGPT

The economist Bryan Caplan was sure the artificial intelligence baked into ChatGPT wasn't as smart as it was cracked up to be. Caplan, of George Mason University in Virginia, seemed in a good position to judge. He has made a name for himself by placing bets on a range of newsworthy topics, from Donald Trump's electoral chances in 2016 to future US college attendance rates. And he nearly always wins, often by betting against predictions he views as hyperbolic. That was the case with wild claims about ChatGPT, the AI chatbot that's become a worldwide phenomenon.