Combined Neural Networks for Time Series Analysis

We propose a method for improving the performance of any network designed to predict the next value of a time series. Vve advocate analyzing the deviations of the network's predictions from the data in the training set. This can be carried out by a secondary network trained on the time series of these residuals. The combined system of the two networks is viewed as the new predictor. We demonstrate the simplicity and success of this method, by applying it to the sunspots data. The small corrections of the secondary network can be regarded as resulting from a Taylor expansion of a complex network which includes the combined system.