A Federated Data Fusion-Based Prognostic Model for Applications with Multi-Stream Incomplete Signals

Industrial prognostic aims to predict the failure time of machines by utilizing their degradation signals. This is typically achieved by establishing a statistical learning model that maps the degradation signals of machines to their time-to-failure (TTFs) [1, 2]. Similar to that of many other statistical learning models, the implementation of prognostic models usually consists of two steps: model training and real-time monitoring (also known as model testing or deployment). Model training focuses on using a historical dataset that comprises the degradation signals and TTFs of some failed machines to estimate the parameters of the prognostic model; real-time monitoring feeds the real-time degradation signals from a partially degraded onsite machine into the prognostic model trained earlier to predict its TTF or TTF distribution. Most existing prognostic models assume that a historical dataset from a decent number of failed machines is available for model training [3, 4, 5, 6, 7]. In reality, however, the amount of historical data owned by a single organization (e.g., a company, a university lab, a factory, etc.) might be small or not large enough to train a reliable prognostic model.