Optimal Stopping with Gaussian Processes

Dwarakanath, Kshama, Dervovic, Danial, Tavallali, Peyman, Vyetrenko, Svitlana S, Balch, Tucker

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence 

Functional data analysis has long been used in modeling time series enabling long term predictions with the ability to We propose a novel group of Gaussian Process based algorithms work with irregularly sampled data [7]. In time series modeling, for fast approximate optimal stopping of time series with specific approaches based on Gaussian Processes (GPs) allow long term applications to financial markets. We show that structural properties forecasting in settings with small quantities of data for calibration commonly exhibited by financial time series (e.g., the tendency and those with a need to estimate the covariance of predictions [30, to mean-revert) allow the use of Gaussian and Deep Gaussian Process 17]. GPs also come up in finance when studying mean reverting models that further enable us to analytically evaluate optimal processes called Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes which are GPs stopping value functions and policies. We additionally quantify with an exponential kernel [29].

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