Property Elicitation on Imprecise Probabilities
Property elicitation studies which attributes of a probability distribution can be determined by minimising a risk. We investigate a generalisation of property elicitation to imprecise probabilities (IP). This investigation is motivated by multi-distribution learning, which takes the classical machine learning paradigm of minimising a single risk over a (precise) probability and replaces it with $Γ$-maximin risk minimization over an IP. We provide necessary conditions for elicitability of a IP-property. Furthermore, we explain what an elicitable IP-property actually elicits through Bayes pairs -- the elicited IP-property is the corresponding standard property of the maximum Bayes risk distribution.
Jul-9-2025
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- Germany (0.14)
- United Kingdom > England
- Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
- North America > United States
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- Massachusetts > Middlesex County
- Cambridge (0.04)
- Europe
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- Research Report (0.40)
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