Improving Autonomous Driving Safety with POP: A Framework for Accurate Partially Observed Trajectory Predictions

Wang, Sheng, Chen, Yingbing, Cheng, Jie, Mei, Xiaodong, Song, Yongkang, Liu, Ming

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence 

Accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for safe and efficient autonomous driving, but handling partial observations presents significant challenges. To address this, we propose a novel trajectory prediction framework called Partial Observations Prediction (POP) for congested urban road scenarios. The framework consists of two stages: self-supervised learning (SSL) and feature distillation. In SSL, a reconstruction branch reconstructs the hidden history of partial observations using a mask procedure and reconstruction head. The feature distillation stage transfers knowledge from a fully observed teacher model to a partially observed student model, improving prediction accuracy. POP achieves comparable results to top-performing methods in open-loop experiments and outperforms the baseline method in closed-loop simulations, including safety metrics. Qualitative results illustrate the superiority of POP in providing reasonable and safe trajectory predictions.

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