A Framework for Control Strategies in Uncertain Inference Networks

A. Abstract Control Strategies for hierachical treelike probabilistic inference networks are formulated and investigated. Strategies that utilize staged look-ahead and temporary focus on subgoals are formalized and refined using the Depth Vector concept that serves as a tool for defining the'virtual tree' regarded by the control strategy. The concept is illustrated by four types of control strategies for three-level trees that are characterized according to their Depth Vector, and according to the way they consider intermediate nodes and the role that they let these nodes play. INFERENTl is a computerized inference system written in Prolog, which provides tools for exercising a variety of control strategies. The system also provides tools for simulating test data and for comparing the relative average performance under different strategies.