Multi-Modal Forecaster: Jointly Predicting Time Series and Textual Data

Kim, Kai, Tsai, Howard, Sen, Rajat, Das, Abhimanyu, Zhou, Zihao, Tanpure, Abhishek, Luo, Mathew, Yu, Rose

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence 

Current forecasting approaches are largely unimodal and ignore the rich textual data that often accompany the time series due to lack of well-curated multimodal benchmark dataset. In this work, we develop TimeText Corpus (TTC), a carefully curated, time-aligned text and time dataset for multimodal forecasting. Our dataset is composed of sequences of numbers and text aligned to timestamps, and includes data from two different domains: climate science and healthcare. Our data is a significant contribution to the rare selection of available multimodal datasets. We also propose the Hybrid Multi-Modal Forecaster (Hybrid-MMF), a multimodal LLM that jointly forecasts both text and time series data using shared embeddings. However, contrary to our expectations, our Hybrid-MMF model does not outperform existing baselines in our experiments. This negative result highlights the challenges inherent in multimodal forecasting. Deep learning has become the predominant method in forecasting large-scale time series Zhou et al. (2022); Wang et al. (2022); Woo et al. (2023), but most existing methods consider time series as a single data modality. In practice, time series data do not exist in isolation and there are rich text meta-data available.