Combining Multi-Fidelity Modelling and Asynchronous Batch Bayesian Optimization

Folch, Jose Pablo, Lee, Robert M, Shafei, Behrang, Walz, David, Tsay, Calvin, van der Wilk, Mark, Misener, Ruth

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence 

The optimal design of many engineering processes can be subject to expensive and time-consuming experimentation. For efficiency, we seek to avoid wasting valuable resources in testing sub-optimal designs. One way to achieve this is by obtaining cheaper approximations of the desired system, which allow us to quickly explore new regimes and avoid areas that are clearly sub-optimal. As an example, consider the case diagrammed in Figure 1 from battery materials research with the goal of designing electrode materials for optimal performance in pouch cells. We can use experiments with cheaper coin cells and shorter test procedures to approximate the behaviour of the material in longer stability tests in pouch cells, which is in turn closer to the expected performance in electric car applications [Chen et al., 2019, Dörfler et al., 2020, Liu et al., 2021]. Similarly, design goals regarding battery life such as discharge capacity retention can be approximated using an early prediction model on the first few charge cycles rather than running aging and stability tests to completion [Attia et al., 2020].

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