temperature prediction
Application of Graph Based Vision Transformers Architectures for Accurate Temperature Prediction in Fiber Specklegram Sensors
Fiber Specklegram Sensors (FSS) are highly effective for environmental monitoring, particularly for detecting temperature variations. However, the nonlinear nature of specklegram data presents significant challenges for accurate temperature prediction. This study investigates the use of transformer-based architectures, including Vision Transformers (ViTs), Swin Transformers, and emerging models such as Learnable Importance Non-Symmetric Attention Vision Transformers (LINA-ViT) and Multi-Adaptive Proximity Vision Graph Attention Transformers (MAP-ViGAT), to predict temperature from specklegram data over a range of 0 to 120 Celsius. The results show that ViTs achieved a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 1.15, outperforming traditional models such as CNNs. GAT-ViT and MAP-ViGAT variants also demonstrated competitive accuracy, highlighting the importance of adaptive attention mechanisms and graph-based structures in capturing complex modal interactions and phase shifts in specklegram data. Additionally, this study incorporates Explainable AI (XAI) techniques, including attention maps and saliency maps, to provide insights into the decision-making processes of the transformer models, improving interpretability and transparency. These findings establish transformer architectures as strong benchmarks for optical fiber-based temperature sensing and offer promising directions for industrial monitoring and structural health assessment applications.
GREAT: Generalizable Representation Enhancement via Auxiliary Transformations for Zero-Shot Environmental Prediction
Luo, Shiyuan, Qiu, Chonghao, Yu, Runlong, Xie, Yiqun, Jia, Xiaowei
Environmental modeling faces critical challenges in predicting ecosystem dynamics across unmonitored regions due to limited and geographically imbalanced observation data. This challenge is compounded by spatial heterogeneity, causing models to learn spurious patterns that fit only local data. Unlike conventional domain generalization, environmental modeling must preserve invariant physical relationships and temporal coherence during augmentation. In this paper, we introduce Generalizable Representation Enhancement via Auxiliary Transformations (GREAT), a framework that effectively augments available datasets to improve predictions in completely unseen regions. GREAT guides the augmentation process to ensure that the original governing processes can be recovered from the augmented data, and the inclusion of the augmented data leads to improved model generalization. Specifically, GREAT learns transformation functions at multiple layers of neural networks to augment both raw environmental features and temporal influence. They are refined through a novel bi-level training process that constrains augmented data to preserve key patterns of the original source data. We demonstrate GREAT's effectiveness on stream temperature prediction across six ecologically diverse watersheds in the eastern U.S., each containing multiple stream segments. Experimental results show that GREAT significantly outperforms existing methods in zero-shot scenarios. This work provides a practical solution for environmental applications where comprehensive monitoring is infeasible.
- North America > United States > Pennsylvania (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York (0.04)
- North America > United States > New Jersey (0.04)
- (3 more...)
Geo-Aware Models for Stream Temperature Prediction across Different Spatial Regions and Scales
Luo, Shiyuan, Yu, Runlong, Chen, Shengyu, Fan, Yingda, Xie, Yiqun, Li, Yanhua, Jia, Xiaowei
Understanding environmental ecosystems is vital for the sustainable management of our planet. However,existing physics-based and data-driven models often fail to generalize to varying spatial regions and scales due to the inherent data heterogeneity presented in real environmental ecosystems. This generalization issue is further exacerbated by the limited observation samples available for model training. To address these issues, we propose Geo-STARS, a geo-aware spatio-temporal modeling framework for predicting stream water temperature across different watersheds and spatial scales. The major innovation of Geo-STARS is the introduction of geo-aware embedding, which leverages geographic information to explicitly capture shared principles and patterns across spatial regions and scales. We further integrate the geo-aware embedding into a gated spatio-temporal graph neural network. This design enables the model to learn complex spatial and temporal patterns guided by geographic and hydrological context, even with sparse or no observational data. We evaluate Geo-STARS's efficacy in predicting stream water temperature, which is a master factor for water quality. Using real-world datasets spanning 37 years across multiple watersheds along the eastern coast of the United States, Geo-STARS demonstrates its superior generalization performance across both regions and scales, outperforming state-of-the-art baselines. These results highlight the promise of Geo-STARS for scalable, data-efficient environmental monitoring and decision-making.
- North America > United States > Minnesota > Hennepin County > Minneapolis (0.16)
- Asia > Middle East > Jordan (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.04)
- (2 more...)
Generalizable AI Model for Indoor Temperature Forecasting Across Sub-Saharan Africa
Akhtar, Zainab, Jengo, Eunice, Haßler, Björn
This study presents a lightweight, domain-informed AI model for predicting indoor temperatures in naturally ventilated schools and homes in Sub-Saharan Africa. The model extends the Temp-AI-Estimator framework, trained on Tanzanian school data, and evaluated on Nigerian schools and Gambian homes. It achieves robust cross-country performance using only minimal accessible inputs, with mean absolute errors of 1.45°C for Nigerian schools and 0.65°C for Gambian homes. These findings highlight AI's potential for thermal comfort management in resource-constrained environments.
- Africa > Sub-Saharan Africa (0.61)
- Africa > The Gambia (0.10)
- Africa > Tanzania > Dodoma Region > Dodoma (0.04)
- (4 more...)
Seeing Heat with Color -- RGB-Only Wildfire Temperature Inference from SAM-Guided Multimodal Distillation using Radiometric Ground Truth
Marinaccio, Michael, Afghah, Fatemeh
This meant that the student network was predicting highly accurate for some burn locations, but not as accurate for others. Some images in burns such as Willamette V alley are more consistent and have a higher temporal resolution than the Sycan Marsh burn. Additionally, some imagery in FLAME 3 contains views of smoke and trees only, and no visible fire in the image. With a three-channel RGB color image only as input, and no distinct fire colors in the image, it may have proven difficult for the student network to segment the fire region. Some of these difficulties are visualized in Figure 3, rows b - e, reflecting not necessarily poor, but not ideal results. In summary, the overall sporadic nature and no visible flames of some of the burn imagery most likely caused lower quantitative IoU for the fire region (Class 1). Sample visual results for a test image from Willamette V alley for the teachers with DeepLabV3+ student network are shown in Figure 4. Table IV shows testing results with different teacher-student variants of the temperature predictions for the ground truth fire region pixels only.
- North America > United States > Arizona (0.04)
- Europe > France > Occitanie > Haute-Garonne > Toulouse (0.04)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Vision (1.00)
- Information Technology > Sensing and Signal Processing (0.68)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Robots > Autonomous Vehicles > Drones (0.68)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (0.46)
Radial Basis Operator Networks
Kurz, Jason, Oughton, Sean, Liu, Shitao
Scientific computing has benefited from using operator networks to enhance or replace numerical computation for the purpose of simulation and forecasting on a wide array of applications to include computational fluid dynamics and weather forecasting [3]. The two primary neural operators that demonstrated immediate success are the deep operator network (DeepONet) [4] based on the universal approximation theorem in [5], and the Fourier neural operator (FNO) [6]. The basic DeepONet approximates the operator by applying a weighted sum to the product of each of the transformed outputs from two FNN sub-networks. The upper sub-network, or branch net, is applied to the input functions while the lower trunk net is applied to the querying locations of the output function. In contrast, the FNO is a particular type of Neural Operator network [7], which accepts only input functions (not querying locations for the output) and applies a global transformation on the function input via a more intricate architecture. Motivated by fundamental solutions to partial differential equations (PDEs), the FNO network sums the output of an integral kernel transformation to the input function with the output of a linear transformation. The sum is then passed through a non-linear activation function. To accelerate the integral kernel transformation, the FNO applies a Fourier transform (FT) to the input data, with the FT of the integral kernel assumed as trainable parameters.
Weather Prediction Using CNN-LSTM for Time Series Analysis: A Case Study on Delhi Temperature Data
As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting is increasingly crucial for sectors such as agriculture, energy management, and environmental protection. Traditional methods, which rely on physical and statistical models, often struggle with complex, nonlinear, and time-varying data, underscoring the need for more advanced techniques. This study explores a hybrid CNN-LSTM model to enhance temperature forecasting accuracy for the Delhi region, using historical meteorological data from 1996 to 2017. We employed both direct and indirect methods, including comprehensive data preprocessing and exploratory analysis, to construct and train our model. The CNN component effectively extracts spatial features, while the LSTM captures temporal dependencies, leading to improved prediction accuracy. Experimental results indicate that the CNN-LSTM model significantly outperforms traditional forecasting methods in terms of both accuracy and stability, with a mean square error (MSE) of 3.26217 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.80615. The hybrid model demonstrates its potential as a robust tool for temperature prediction, offering valuable insights for meteorological forecasting and related fields. Future research should focus on optimizing model architecture, exploring additional feature extraction techniques, and addressing challenges such as overfitting and computational complexity. This approach not only advances temperature forecasting but also provides a foundation for applying deep learning to other time series forecasting tasks.
- North America > United States > California > Los Angeles County > Los Angeles (0.29)
- Asia > India > NCT > Delhi (0.05)
- North America > Trinidad and Tobago > Trinidad > Arima > Arima (0.04)
- Asia > China > Sichuan Province > Chengdu (0.04)
FATE: Focal-modulated Attention Encoder for Temperature Prediction
Ashraf, Tajamul, Bashir, Janibul
One of the major challenges of the twenty-first century is climate change, evidenced by rising sea levels, melting glaciers, and increased storm frequency. Accurate temperature forecasting is vital for understanding and mitigating these impacts. Traditional data-driven models often use recurrent neural networks (RNNs) but face limitations in parallelization, especially with longer sequences. To address this, we introduce a novel approach based on the FocalNet Transformer architecture. Our Focal modulation Attention Encoder (FATE) framework operates in a multi-tensor format, utilizing tensorized modulation to capture spatial and temporal nuances in meteorological data. Comparative evaluations against existing transformer encoders, 3D CNNs, LSTM, and ConvLSTM models show that FATE excels at identifying complex patterns in temperature data. Additionally, we present a new labeled dataset, the Climate Change Parameter dataset (CCPD), containing 40 years of data from Jammu and Kashmir on seven climate-related parameters. Experiments with real-world temperature datasets from the USA, Canada, and Europe show accuracy improvements of 12\%, 23\%, and 28\%, respectively, over current state-of-the-art models. Our CCPD dataset also achieved a 24\% improvement in accuracy. To support reproducible research, we have released the source code and pre-trained FATE model at \href{https://github.com/Tajamul21/FATE}{https://github.com/Tajamul21/FATE}.
- North America > Canada (0.25)
- North America > United States > New York (0.05)
- Europe > Netherlands > Limburg > Maastricht (0.04)
- (5 more...)
- Research Report > Promising Solution (0.68)
- Overview > Innovation (0.48)
Improving Building Temperature Forecasting: A Data-driven Approach with System Scenario Clustering
Zhao, Dafang, Chen, Zheng, Li, Zhengmao, Yuan, Xiaolei, Taniguchi, Ittetsu
Heat, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems play a critical role in maintaining a comfortable thermal environment and cost approximately 40% of primary energy usage in the building sector. For smart energy management in buildings, usage patterns and their resulting profiles allow the improvement of control systems with prediction capabilities. However, for large-scale HVAC system management, it is difficult to construct a detailed model for each subsystem. In this paper, a new data-driven room temperature prediction model is proposed based on the k-means clustering method. The proposed data-driven temperature prediction approach extracts the system operation feature through historical data analysis and further simplifies the system-level model to improve generalization and computational efficiency. We evaluate the proposed approach in the real world. The results demonstrated that our approach can significantly reduce modeling time without reducing prediction accuracy.
- Europe > Finland (0.14)
- Asia > Japan > Honshū > Kansai > Osaka Prefecture > Osaka (0.05)
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.04)
- Europe > Belgium > Flanders > Flemish Brabant > Leuven (0.04)
- Energy (1.00)
- Construction & Engineering > HVAC (1.00)
SimFair: Physics-Guided Fairness-Aware Learning with Simulation Models
Wang, Zhihao, Xie, Yiqun, Li, Zhili, Jia, Xiaowei, Jiang, Zhe, Jia, Aolin, Xu, Shuo
Practically, satellite remote sensing is the only approach to measuring these variables at the spatial As the use of artificial intelligence (AI) expands to more and and temporal resolution needed for most applications (Liang more traditional domains, the bias in predictions made by 2001). Due to the large volume of satellite data, machine AI has also raised broad concerns in recent years. To facilitate learning methods have become increasingly popular choices the responsible use of AI, fairness-aware learning has in predicting temperature-related variables (Deo and Şahin emerged as an essential component in AI's deployment in 2017; Wang et al. 2021). However, fairness has yet to be societal applications. In this study, we focus on learningbased considered. Due to the social impact, it is important to ensure mapping applications, where it is important to evaluate fairness among different places in the prediction map.
- North America > United States > Alaska (0.04)
- North America > United States > Maryland (0.04)
- Oceania > Australia > Queensland (0.04)
- Asia > China (0.04)
- Energy > Renewable (0.67)
- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (0.46)