Robust uncertainty quantification is increasingly important in modern data analysis and is often formalized under Huber's model, which allows an $\varepsilon$-fraction of arbitrary corruptions. In many experimental sciences, however, the measurement protocol is well controlled, and contamination is more plausibly introduced upstream. Motivated by this noise-oblivious nature of adversaries, we study confidence intervals for the null location parameter $θ$ in Efron's Gaussian two-groups model, where an unknown fraction $\varepsilon$ of observations have arbitrarily shifted means, but all samples share the same law of additive Gaussian measurement noise with variance $σ^2$. We characterize the minimax-optimal length among confidence intervals with a prescribed coverage level uniformly over the unknown contamination proportion and all noise-oblivious adversaries. Although prior work has shown that the minimax point estimation rate of theta does not deteriorate when $\varepsilon$ becomes unknown, our results reveal that, with a given $σ^2$, the minimax-optimal length of confidence intervals that are adaptive to unknown $\varepsilon$ is of order $σ(n^{-1/4}+\varepsilon^{1/2}/\max\{1, \log(en \varepsilon^2)\}^{1/2})$, which is polynomially worse than the optimal length when $\varepsilon$ is known. When the variance $σ^2$ is also unknown, we show a further degradation: no adaptive confidence interval can be shorter than $Ω(σn^{-1/8})$. Algorithmically, we introduce a Fourier-based certification procedure built on Carathéodory's positive-semidefiniteness constraints. By scanning candidate points and accepting those whose residual characteristic function is certifiably consistent with a Gaussian location mixture, our algorithm attains the minimax lower bound in the known-variance setting and is computable in polynomial time.

We study robust regression under a contamination model in which covariates are clean while the responses may be corrupted in an adaptive manner. Unlike the classical Huber's contamination model, where both covariates and responses may be contaminated and consistent estimation is impossible when the contamination proportion is a non-vanishing constant, it turns out that the clean-covariate setting admits strictly improved statistical guarantees. Specifically, we show that the additional information in the clean covariates can be carefully exploited to construct an estimator that achieves a better estimation rate than that attainable under Huber contamination. In contrast to the Huber model, this improved rate implies consistency even when the contamination is a constant. A matching minimax lower bound is established using Fano's inequality together with the construction of contamination processes that match $m> 2$ distributions simultaneously, extending the previous two-point lower bound argument in Huber's setting. Despite the improvement over the Huber model from an information-theoretic perspective, we provide formal evidence -- in the form of Statistical Query and Low-Degree Polynomial lower bounds -- that the problem exhibits strong information-computation gaps. Our results strongly suggest that the information-theoretic improvements cannot be achieved by polynomial-time algorithms, revealing a fundamental gap between information-theoretic and computational limits in robust regression with clean covariates.

This paper studies the statistical and computational limits of high-order clustering with planted structures. We focus on two clustering models, constant high-order clustering (CHC) and rank-one higher-order clustering (ROHC), and study the methods and theory for testing whether a cluster exists (detection) and identifying the support of cluster (recovery). Specifically, we identify the sharp boundaries of signal-to-noise ratio for which CHC and ROHC detection/recovery are statistically possible. We also develop the tight computational thresholds: when the signal-to-noise ratio is below these thresholds, we prove that polynomial-time algorithms cannot solve these problems under the computational hardness conjectures of hypergraphic planted clique (HPC) detection and hypergraphic planted dense subgraph (HPDS) recovery. We also propose polynomial-time tensor algorithms that achieve reliable detection and recovery when the signal-to-noise ratio is above these thresholds. Both sparsity and tensor structures yield the computational barriers in high-order tensor clustering. The interplay between them results in significant differences between high-order tensor clustering and matrix clustering in literature in aspects of statistical and computational phase transition diagrams, algorithmic approaches, hardness conjecture, and proof techniques. To our best knowledge, we are the first to give a thorough characterization of the statistical and computational trade-off for such a double computational-barrier problem. Finally, we provide evidence for the computational hardness conjectures of HPC detection and HPDS recovery.