acquisition
Embattled Nidec to suspend biz acquisitions
KYOTO - Nidec President Mitsuya Kishida has said the major Japanese motor maker will suspend business acquisitions for the time being to focus its efforts on reconstructing the firm rocked by accounting and product quality fraud. Business acquisitions have been a growth driver for Nidec, based in Kyoto. "I will work on rebuilding our company's governance system," Kishida said in an interview Friday, showing a plan to spend ¥130 billion over five years on measures to prevent irregularities. A panel of outside experts that investigated the accounting fraud has concluded that excessive pressure from Nidec's founder, Shigenobu Nagamori, on company staff to meet performance targets was among the factors behind the irregularities. Pointing out that Nidec had "a corporate culture to pursue short-term profits," Kishida said, "We will build a system that makes it impossible to commit irregularities regarding accounting and product quality control." On future business management, he said, "We will review our operations, including the possibility of ceding what we have in our group to partner entities," suggesting that consolidating some of its existing operations could be an option.
Deployment-complete benchmarking
Mansouri, El Mustapha, Arai, Keigo
Benchmarks increasingly guide deployment, procurement and scientific screening, yet a score supports only the response it records, not necessarily the deployment action. We introduce deployment-complete benchmarking, which tests whether benchmark evidence determines a deployment action. A benchmark is complete for a claim exactly when the action is constant on each evidence fiber; mixed fibers expose missing deployment information, and completion curves quantify the evidence required to resolve ambiguity. In controlled response spaces, benchmark-channel conformal coverage of 94.98% transferred poorly to an unmeasured deployment channel (10.07%), whereas response-rank intervals achieved 94.91% coverage; even zero benchmark error certified only 45.4% of candidates at the largest residual size. Public audits revealed incompleteness, including 97.9% mixed Tox21 fibers and zero median certifiable fraction in main Matbench and JARVIS audits. In held-out replays, certify-then-acquire reduced false decisions from 1.19% to 0.027% in Tox21 and from 20.3% to 0.128% in JARVIS, while changing model choice and identifying deployment-relevant probes. Deployment-ready benchmarks should report evidence, supported actions, ambiguity and completion cost rather than scores alone.
Post-ADC Inference: Valid Inference After Active Data Collection
Nishino, Shuichi, Shiraishi, Tomohiro, Katsuoka, Teruyuki, Takeuchi, Ichiro
The validity of statistical inference depends critically on how data are collected. When data gathered through active data collection (ADC) are reused for a post-hoc inferential task, conventional inference can fail because the sampling is adaptively biased toward regions favored by the collection strategy. This issue is especially pronounced in black-box optimization, where sequential model-based optimization (SMBO) methods such as the tree-structured Parzen estimator (TPE) and Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) preferentially concentrate evaluations in promising regions. We study statistical inference on actively collected data when the inferential target is constructed in a data-dependent manner after data collection. To enable valid inference in this setting, we propose post-ADC inference, a framework that accounts for the biases arising from both the active data collection process and the subsequent data-driven target construction. Our method builds on selective inference and provides valid $p$-values and confidence intervals that correct for both sources of bias. The framework applies to a broad class of ADC processes by imposing only assumptions on the observation noise, without requiring any assumptions on the underlying black-box function or the surrogate model used by the SMBO algorithm. Empirical results also show that post-ADC inference provides valid inference for data collected by GP-UCB and TPE.
Non-Myopic Active Feature Acquisition via Pathwise Policy Gradients
Aronsson, Linus, Chehreghani, Morteza Haghir
Active feature acquisition (AFA) considers prediction problems in which features are costly to obtain and the learner adaptively decides which feature values to acquire for each instance and when to stop and predict. AFA can be formulated as a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP), which naturally admits a sequential decision-making perspective. In this paper, we present non-myopic pathwise policy gradients (NM-PPG), a new AFA method built around this formulation. We introduce a continuous relaxation of the acquisition process that enables pathwise gradients through the full acquisition trajectory, avoiding the high variance of standard score-function policy gradients while allowing end-to-end optimization of a non-myopic acquisition policy. To better align training with deployment, we further develop a straight-through rollout scheme that follows hard feature acquisitions in the forward pass while backpropagating through the corresponding soft relaxation in the backward pass. We stabilize optimization with entropy regularization and staged temperature sharpening. Experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that NM-PPG yields superior performance relative to state-of-the-art AFA baselines.
Order-Agnostic Autoregressive Modelling with Missing Data
Peis, Ignacio, Olmos, Pablo M., Frellsen, Jes
Order-Agnostic autoregressive models have demonstrated strong performance in deep generative modeling, yet their use in settings with incomplete data remains largely unexplored. In this work, we reinterpret them through the lens of missing data. First, we show that their standard training procedure on fully observed data implicitly performs imputation under a missing completely at random mechanism, resulting in robust out-of-sample imputation performance in settings with high missingness. Second, we introduce the first principled framework for training them directly on incomplete datasets under general missingness mechanisms. Third, we leverage their amortized conditional density estimation to perform active information acquisition, i.e., sequentially selecting the most informative missing variables for downstream prediction or inference. Across a suite of real-world benchmarks, our Missingness-Aware Order-Agnostic Autoregressive Model (MO-ARM) consistently outperforms established imputation baselines.
Decoupled PFNs: Identifiable Epistemic-Aleatoric Decomposition via Structured Synthetic Priors
Bergna, Richard, Depeweg, Stefan, Hernández-Lobato, José Miguel
Prior-Fitted Networks (PFNs) amortize Bayesian prediction by meta-learning over a synthetic task prior, but their standard output is a posterior predictive distribution over noisy observations. For sequential decision-making, such as active learning and Bayesian optimization, acquisition should prioritize epistemic uncertainty about the latent signal rather than irreducible aleatoric observation noise. We show that this epistemic--aleatoric split is not identifiable in general from the posterior predictive distribution alone, even when that distribution is known exactly. We then exploit a distinctive advantage of PFNs: because the synthetic data-generating process is under our control, each task can contain an explicit latent signal and noise function, and the generator can provide query-level labels for both the noiseless target and the observation-noise variance. We use these labels to train a decoupled PFN with separate latent-signal and aleatoric heads. The observation-level predictive is induced by convolving the latent signal distribution with the learned noise model. Empirically, epistemic-only acquisition mitigates the failure mode of total-variance exploration in noisy and heteroscedastic settings. In matched comparisons, decoupled models usually improve over tuned observation-level baselines, with the clearest gains in HPO; in broader sweeps, a decoupled model obtains the best average rank in both HPO and synthetic BO.
The Download: DeepSeek's latest AI breakthrough, and the race to build world models
The Download: DeepSeek's latest AI breakthrough, and the race to build world models Plus: China has blocked Meta's $2 billion acquisition of AI startup Manus. On Friday, Chinese AI firm DeepSeek released a preview of V4, its long-awaited new flagship model. Notably, the model can process much longer prompts than its last generation, thanks to a new design that handles large amounts of text more efficiently. While the model remains open source, its performance matches leading closed-source rivals from Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google. Here are three ways V4 could shake up AI . AI systems have already gained impressive mastery over the digital world, but the physical world remains humanity's domain.
Cost-optimal Sequential Testing via Doubly Robust Q-learning
Zhou, Doudou, Zhang, Yiran, Jin, Dian, Zheng, Yingye, Tian, Lu, Cai, Tianxi
Clinical decision-making often involves selecting tests that are costly, invasive, or time-consuming, motivating individualized, sequential strategies for what to measure and when to stop ascertaining. We study the problem of learning cost-optimal sequential decision policies from retrospective data, where test availability depends on prior results, inducing informative missingness. Under a sequential missing-at-random mechanism, we develop a doubly robust Q-learning framework for estimating optimal policies. The method introduces path-specific inverse probability weights that account for heterogeneous test trajectories and satisfy a normalization property conditional on the observed history. By combining these weights with auxiliary contrast models, we construct orthogonal pseudo-outcomes that enable unbiased policy learning when either the acquisition model or the contrast model is correctly specified. We establish oracle inequalities for the stage-wise contrast estimators, along with convergence rates, regret bounds, and misclassification rates for the learned policy. Simulations demonstrate improved cost-adjusted performance over weighted and complete-case baselines, and an application to a prostate cancer cohort study illustrates how the method reduces testing cost without compromising predictive accuracy.
MosaicMRI: A Diverse Dataset and Benchmark for Raw Musculoskeletal MRI
Arguello, Paula, Tinaz, Berk, Sepehri, Mohammad Shahab, Soltanolkotabi, Maryam, Soltanolkotabi, Mahdi
Deep learning underpins a wide range of applications in MRI, including reconstruction, artifact removal, and segmentation. However, progress has been driven largely by public datasets focused on brain and knee imaging, shaping how models are trained and evaluated. As a result, careful studies of the reliability of these models across diverse anatomical settings remain limited. In this work, we introduce MosaicMRI, a large and diverse collection of fully sampled raw musculoskeletal (MSK) MR measurements designed for training and evaluating machine-learning-based methods. MosaicMRI is the largest open-source raw MSK MRI dataset to date, comprising 2,671 volumes and 80,156 slices. The dataset offers substantial diversity in volume orientation (e.g., axial, sagittal), imaging contrasts (e.g., PD, T1, T2), anatomies (e.g., spine, knee, hip, ankle, and others), and numbers of acquisition coils. Using VarNet as a baseline for accelerated reconstruction task, we perform a comprehensive set of experiments to study scaling behavior with respect to both model capacity and dataset size. Interestingly, models trained on the combined anatomies significantly outperform anatomy-specific models in low-sample regimes, highlighting the benefits of anatomical diversity and the presence of exploitable cross-anatomical correlations. We further evaluate robustness and cross-anatomy generalization by training models on one anatomy (e.g., spine) and testing them on another (e.g., knee). Notably, we identify groups of body parts (e.g., foot and elbow) that generalize well with each other, and highlight that performance under domain shifts depends on both training set size, anatomy, and protocol-specific factors.