Our efforts proceed in the context of a problem suggested by the operational needs of a particular electric utility to make daily forecasts of short-term load or demand. Forecasts are made at midday (1 p.m.) on a weekday t ( Monday - Thursday), for the next evening peak e(t) (occuring usually about 8 p.m. in the winter), the daily minimum d(t

We present a theory of cortico-hippocampal interaction in discrimination learning. The hippocampal region is presumed to form new stimulus representations which facilitate learning by enhancing the discriminability of predictive stimuli and compressing stimulus-stimulus redundancies. The cortical and cerebellar regions, which are the sites of long-term memory.

Connectionist Rpeech recognition systems are often handicapped by an inconsistency between training and testing criteria. This problem is addressed by the Multi-State Time Delay Neural Network (MS-TDNN), a hierarchical phonf'mp and word classifier which uses DTW to modulate its connectivit.y

The input strings consist of a timeordered sequence of XY coordinates, punctuated by pen-lifts. The methods were designed to work in "run-on mode" where there is no constraint on the spacing between characters. While both methods use a neural network recognition engine and a graph-algorithmic post-processor, their approaches to segmentation are quite different. The first method, which we call IN SEC (for input segmentation), uses a combination of heuristics to identify particular penlifts as tentative segmentation points. The second method, which we call OUTSEC (for output segmentation), relies on the empirically trained recognition engine for both recognizing characters and identifying relevant segmentation points.

Artificial neural networks are comprised of an interconnected collection of certain nonlinear devices; examples of commonly used devices include linear threshold elements, sigmoidal elements and radial-basis elements. We employ results from harmonic analysis and the theory of rational approximation to obtain almost tight lower bounds on the size (i.e.

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) can be applied to several important problems in molecular biology. We introduce a new convergent learning algorithm for HMMs that, unlike the classical Baum-Welch algorithm is smooth and can be applied online or in batch mode, with or without the usual Viterbi most likely path approximation. Left-right HMMs with insertion and deletion states are then trained to represent several protein families including immunoglobulins and kinases. In all cases, the models derived capture all the important statistical properties of the families and can be used efficiently in a number of important tasks such as multiple alignment, motif detection, and classification.

How can artificial neural nets generalize better from fewer examples? In order to generalize successfully, neural network learning methods typically require large training data sets. We introduce a neural network learning method that generalizes rationally from many fewer data points, relying instead on prior knowledge encoded in previously learned neural networks. For example, in robot control learning tasks reported here, previously learned networks that model the effects of robot actions are used to guide subsequent learning of robot control functions. For each observed training example of the target function (e.g. the robot control policy), the learner explains the observed example in terms of its prior knowledge, then analyzes this explanation to infer additional information about the shape, or slope, of the target function. This shape knowledge is used to bias generalization when learning the target function. Results are presented applying this approach to a simulated robot task based on reinforcement learning.

Holographic Recurrent Networks (HRNs) are recurrent networks which incorporate associative memory techniques for storing sequential structure. HRNs can be easily and quickly trained using gradient descent techniques to generate sequences of discrete outputs and trajectories through continuous spaee. The performance of HRNs is found to be superior to that of ordinary recurrent networks on these sequence generation tasks.

In visual processing the ability to deal with missing and noisy information is crucial. Occlusions and unreliable feature detectors often lead to situations where little or no direct information about features is available. However the available information is usually sufficient to highly constrain the outputs. We discuss Bayesian techniques for extracting class probabilities given partial data. The optimal solution involves integrating over the missing dimensions weighted by the local probability densities. We show how to obtain closed-form approximations to the Bayesian solution using Gaussian basis function networks. The framework extends naturally to the case of noisy features.

The classical computational model for stereo vision incorporates a uniqueness inhibition constraint to enforce a one-to-one feature match, thereby sacrificing the ability to handle transparency. Critics of the model disregard the uniqueness constraint and argue that the smoothness constraint can provide the excitation support required for transparency computation. However, this modification fails in neighborhoods with sparse features. We propose a Bayesian approach to stereo vision with priors favoring cohesive over transparent surfaces. The disparity and its segmentation into a multi-layer "depth planes" representation are simultaneously computed. The smoothness constraint propagates support within each layer, providing mutual excitation for non-neighboring transparent or partially occluded regions. Test results for various random-dot and other stereograms are presented.