On the Road to AI, Don't Ask "Are We There Yet?"

Businesses that put in the effort to create an artificially intelligent business may see amazing returns at first -- but there are good reasons to expect those to diminish. It would be very, very helpful to know what the future holds for artificial intelligence in business. Unfortunately, it is also very, very hard to predict. With this topic, our extrapolation heuristics may not work well. We tend to extrapolate linearly, expecting the pace of past progress to continue unchanged.